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Economic Measures Recession

  • 75% of the ultra-rich forecast a US recession in the next two years, survey finds

    The U.S. economy is firing on all cylinders, yet 75 percent of ultra-high net worth investors predict it will hit recession by 2020, a J.P. Morgan survey found.

  • People line up to receive a free meal at the St. Anthony foundation dining room in San Francisco, California (File photo).

    The U.S. economy is firing on all cylinders, yet 75 percent of ultra-high net worth investors predict it will hit recession by 2020, a J.P. Morgan survey found.

  • The state of the global economy is one of the most important drivers for oil consumption and prices, so the economic outlook is crucial to the calculations of OPEC and other oil suppliers. The United States now accounts for less than one-fifth of global economic activity, but the rest of the world is unlikely to grow strongly if the United States is in recession, so...

  • BOSTON, April 13- The Federal Reserve will probably need to raise interest rates at least three more times this year in the face of a robust U.S. economy, even while possible trade disruptions pose risks, a top Fed policymaker said on Friday. Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren, in a speech at the Greater Boston Chamber Economic Outlook Breakfast, painted an...

  • LONDON, April 6- Sterling forecasts are at their highest since Britons voted to leave the European Union, a Reuters poll found, partly as a result of optimism driven by progress in divorce talks and expectations of another interest rate rise next month. While an economic recession predicted in the event of a "Leave" vote in the June 2016 referendum never...

  • Crowds gather outside the New York Stock Exchange during the Wall Street crash in 1929.

    The stock market's start to the second quarter is its worst since the Great Depression.

  • BRASILIA, March 27- Brazil's central bank may take "some time" to evaluate the economic outlook before halting interest rate cuts, the minutes of its last policy meeting showed on Tuesday, suggesting its forecast for a final reduction in May may be premature. The bank last week cut the benchmark Selic rate by 25 basis points to 6.50 percent as a string of...

  • WASHINGTON, March 23- New orders for key U.S.-made capital goods rebounded more than expected in February after two straight monthly declines and shipments surged, which could temper expectations of a sharp slowdown in business spending on equipment in the first quarter. The Commerce Department's report on Friday prompted some economists to raise their...

  • WASHINGTON/ SAN FRANCISCO, March 21- The Trump administration's punchbowl of tax cuts and government spending may leave the U.S. economy with a stinging hangover in two years, according to fresh Federal Reserve forecasts that show monetary policy moving into "restrictive" territory for the first time in more than a decade. The new round of projections by...

  • *Fed policy statement due at 2 p.m. EDT. WASHINGTON, March 21- The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates at its first policy meeting under Chairman Jerome Powell and may signal more hikes are coming in response to tax cuts and government spending that could further stoke a robust U.S. economy. The Fed is scheduled to issue its latest policy statement at...

  • Bear Stearns headquarters in New York, September 22, 2004.

    William Cohan believes two important lessons remained decidedly unlearned on Wall Street.

  • WASHINGTON, March 2- The Federal Reserve digested the Trump administration's massive tax cuts and plan to boost spending with barely a hiccup, but Washington's sudden push for steep tariffs on steel and aluminum imports could saddle the U.S. central bank with the worst of both worlds- rising inflation and a slowing global economy. The tariffs that President...

  • WASHINGTON, March 2- The Federal Reserve digested the Trump administration's massive tax cuts and plan to boost spending with barely a hiccup, but Washington's sudden push for steep tariffs on steel and aluminum imports could saddle the U.S. central bank with the worst of both worlds- rising inflation and a slowing global economy. The tariffs that President...

  • *Q4 core profit $6.19 bln vs consensus $6.03 bln. LEUVEN, Belgium, March 1- Anheuser-Busch InBev, the world's largest brewer, forecast strong growth this year after a recovery in Brazil led to higher than expected earnings at the end of 2017, its first year since buying closest rival SABMiller. However, he cautioned that the first quarter could be weaker because of...

  • Pregnancy test

    The National Bureau of Economic Research claims that falling conception rates in the U.S. have consistently preceded economic downturns in recent decades.

  • Jeffrey Gundlach: We don't see a recession on the horizon

    Jeffrey Gundlach, DoubleLine Capital CEO, discusses his views on where the U.S. dollar goes from its lows and whether he sees a recession in the months ahead.

  • Bridgewater's Dalio sees a 70% chance of a US recession before 2020

    Ray Dalio thinks there is a relatively high chance the U.S. economy will stumble into a recession before the next presidential election in 2020.

  • Ray Dalio, Bridgewater Associates

    Ray Dalio thinks there is a relatively high chance the U.S. economy will stumble into a recession before the next presidential election in 2020.

  • CAMBRIDGE, Mass., Feb 21- Billionaire investor Ray Dalio, who founded world's largest hedge fund Bridgewater Associates, thinks there is a relatively high chance the U.S. economy will stumble into a recession before the next presidential election in 2020.. The probability of a recession prior to the next presidential election would be relatively high, maybe 70...

  • "I believe the Federal Reserve should be gradually and patiently raising the federal funds rate during 2018," Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Robert Kaplan said in an essay released on Wednesday that updated his views on the economic and policy outlook. At the time, Wall Street was not fully convinced of the need for such a pace. His more dovish colleague,...