Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton Hold Big Leads in Michigan: Poll

Republican U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump addresses a campaign rally in Portland, Maine March 3, 2016.
Joel Page | Reuters
Republican U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump addresses a campaign rally in Portland, Maine March 3, 2016.

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are leading their competitors by double digits in Michigan's March 8 primary, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll.

In the Republican race, Trump gets support from 41 percent of likely primary voters — followed by Ted Cruz at 22 percent, Marco Rubio at 17 percent and John Kasich at 13 percent.

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The poll was partially conducted before Ben Carson announced that he did not see a path forward in the GOP contest. With Carson in the race and before his second-choice support was reallocated, the race was Trump 40 percent, Cruz 19 percent, Rubio 15 percent, Kasich 11 percent and Carson 9 percent.)


Given his poll standing, Trump leads the GOP pack among almost every demographic group - men, women, Republicans, independents, moderate GOP primary voters and conservatives. He's even ahead of Cruz by one point among white evangelicals, 30 percent to 29 percent.

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But Cruz leads Trump among "very conservative" GOP primary voters, 43 percent to 30 percent.

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton takes the stage to rally with supporters at George Mason University in Fairfax, Virginia February 29, 2016.
Jonathan Ernst | Reuters
Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton takes the stage to rally with supporters at George Mason University in Fairfax, Virginia February 29, 2016.

In the Democratic contest, Clinton leads Sanders among likely primary voters by 17 points, 57 percent to 40 percent. But the race is closer among the larger potential Democratic electorate — Clinton at 52 percent and Sanders at 44 percent.

Clinton is ahead of Sanders among African Americans (76 percent to 21 percent), those ages 45 and older (68 percent to 27 percent), Democrats (63 percent to 33 percent), women (61 percent to 36 percent), men (51 percent to 47 percent) and whites (49 percent to 48 percent).

Sanders, meanwhile, leads among independents (60 percent to 36 percent) and those under 45 years old (61 percent to 39 percent).

Both Clinton and Sanders have the advantage over Trump in general-election matchups

In hypothetical general-election matchups in Michigan, Clinton leads Trump by 16 points, 52 percent to 36 percent, while Sanders is ahead by an even wider margin, 56 percent to 34 percent.

Against Ted Cruz, Clinton's lead is seven points, 48 percent to 41 percent, while Sanders is up 18 points, 54 percent to 36 percent.

President Obama's approval rating in Michigan stands at 50 percent among registered voters.

The NBC/WSJ/Marist poll was conducted March 1-3 among 2,229 registered voters (which has a margin of error of plus-minus 2.1 percentage points), 546 likely Democratic primary voters (plus-minus 4.2 percentage points) and 482 likely Republican primary voters (plus-minus 4.5 percentage points).