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Friday’s disappointing US non-farm payrolls data showed no jobs where created in the US in August sending stocks sharply lower as fears over a recession intensified.
After trickling forward in terms of job growth in the United States, the August numbers released Friday were met with alarm. The numbers suggest that companies have stopped hiring and are maintaining the status quo in terms of head count. Based on this release, data equity markets sold off and gold rallied as concerns arose about the strength of the US economic recovery. Banks in particular including much maligned Bank of America were hit as a result.
"A very large proportion of those who are unemployed have been unemployed for a long time. It is known that if you are unemployed for a long period of time, it is much more difficult to re-enter the job market. It requires job retraining, it requires much more focused attention on hiring, and it requires not just another budget deficit, another monetary easing, but focusing much more on that particular group," Jacob Frenkel, Chairman of JP Morgan Chase, told CNBC.
"The market is hoping for a surprise to the downside. Any stronger number, and we risk having to price out expectations of QE3, and I think that is going to have a major impact on the market," John Woods, CIO at Citi Private Bank, told CNBC.
I’ve got a few thoughts on this so-called Obama jobs plan, scheduled for release next week. For starters, let’s be clear: Government doesn’t create jobs. It’s the private sector that creates jobs. And that’s precisely what President Obama has been missing for nearly three years now.
Pimco's manager in charge of the world's largest bond fund, Bill Gross, may have made a mistake when betting against US bond prices earlier this year, but the economy has deteriorated faster than anyone had appreciated, analysts told CNBC Tuesday.
With speculation growing that the Fed could pull the trigger on QE3 next month and the ECB buying up bonds in the euro zone, analysts at ING in Amsterdam have been asking if it is possible for a central bank to go bust.
"It reminds [Bernanke's speech] me of the movie airplane in the scene where one of the gates agents is saying 'don't panic don't panic' where all the passengers are running towards the exits. I think his primary job as Fed chief is just to be calm and to try and reassure markets. The story is kinda wearing thin, the vaudeville act, no-one's really buying it," Andrew Schiff, investment consultant at Euro Pacific Capital told CNBC. "The markets were expecting some kind of QE3 announcement today, they didn't get it but what they did get....was the extended meeting of the Fed in September and maybe they will get some grand QE3 strategy announcement in September."
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is unlikely to announce a third round of quantitative easing in his Jackson Hole speech this afternoon, Tony Fratto, the director of Hamilton Place Strategies, a public policy research firm, told CNBC.
Bernanke is unlikely to announce a third round of quantitative easing in his Jackson Hole speech this afternoon, Tony Fratto, the director of Hamilton Place Strategies, a public policy research firm, told CNBC. "If investors are betting on a Bernanke put, they are setting themselves up for a disappointment. Bernanke hinted at QE3 last year, but I don't think we are going to see that kind of activity today," Fratto said.
"I wouldn't be surprised to see some selling today based on no news [about QE3 from Jackson Hole], but I don't think it will be a big sell-off," Charlie Parker, investment editor at Citywire, told CNBC.
The fact that Deven Shama, the president of Standard & Poor’s, has stood down from his job just a couple of days after the agency downgraded the United States' credit rating has raised questions over whether he is being made into a scapegoat to deflect political pressure on the credit ratings agency.
"You would think by now people would realise there is no quick fix to get us out of this crisis. It is going to be a long-haul, and what we really need to get is some reforms to the economy. Confidence comes from seeing government policy be what you want it to be," Matthew Bishop, U.S. business editor at The Economist, told CNBC.
These mistakes are big, costly and spectacular. What are some of the more notable architectural failures in modern history?
"It's difficult to see what Bernanke could say on Friday that hasn't already been said or done before. They could tinker around with reactivating a bond programme, but as we saw with QE2, which wasn't exactly a resounding success, it is not really so much a liquidity problem with the markets; it's a debt problem, and therefore, a confidence problem," Stephen Davies, chief executive at Javelin Wealth Management, told CNBC.
He believes the Fed has created enough liquidity, but it's tax and regulatory barriers that have blocked growth and job creation. He also responds to GOP attacks on the Fed.
Richard Fisher, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas president & CEO, discusses the day's market rout.
The Environmental Protection Agency is emerging as a favorite target of the Republican presidential candidates, who portray it as the very symbol of a heavy-handed regulatory agenda imposed by the Obama administration that they say is strangling the economy. The New York Times reports.
An enforcement lawyer at the Securities and Exchange Commission says that the agency illegally destroyed files and documents related to thousands of early-stage investigations over the last 20 years, according to information released Wednesday by Congressional investigators, reported the New York Times.
With the 10-year Treasury yield reaching lows not seen since the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008, some experts argue that a volatile economic climate with a recession is now likely.