European Banks Fall but This Time, Cyprus Isn't The Culprit
Ouch! There is serious damage accumulating in European banks, with many down 2 to 3 percent again today. Just in the last month alone:
Banco Popolare -26 percent
Unione di Banche -22 percent
UniCredit -17 percent
Banca Monte Dei Pasch -14 percent
Intesa San Paolo -11 percent
Bankia -45 percent
Banco Popular -14 percent
Banco de Sabadell -14 percent
Banco Santander -11 percent
BBVA -10 percent
CreditAg -16 percent
SocGen -15 percent
Alpha Bank -31 percent
National Bank -31 percent
Europe weak, euro falling to lowest levels since November, as Italy's effort to form a government stalls. Yet at least for today, Cyprus can't be fingered as the culprit.
The head of Italy's largest party, Pier Luigi Bersani, seems unable to form a coalition government this week, soItaly's political stalemate — already a month old — will continue.
Mr. Bersani said only an insane person would want to govern Italy now. Would that include erstwhile (and perhaps soon to be again) prime minister Silvio Berlusconi?
1. Iron ore provider Cliffs Natural is down 11 percent pre-open on downgrade from Morgan Stanley; Credit Suisse lowers their price target. The problem? Iron ore prices are still weak, and supply is still high--and growing. And CLF is a high-cost provider.
Yet wait a minute: the stock is already down 40 percent in 2013, and they already cut their dividend. On that alone, Goldman upgraded the company this morning, though only to Neutral from Sell.
2. Is Cyprus really different? To some extent, yes. It's unlikely long lines will form in front of, say, Banco Santander.
In most of the rest of Europe,the big banks are funded by debt and equity,rather than through deposits. Most of the bigger banks of Europe have very high shareholder equity compared to deposits; the opposite was the case in Cyprus.
This makes it more likely that any bailouts would be largely funded by haircuts for equity and debt, rather than cuts in bank deposits(unsecured creditors).
—By CNBC's Bob Pisani