AP

As Darren Rovell pointed out, the market historically has outperformed when an original NFL team wins the Super Bowl and lags when an orginal AFL team wins.    [Original NFL teams that switched to the AFC when the AFL and NFL merged include the Steelers, the Colts and the Browns.]  We decided to look at the market's performance of AFL / NFL teams as well as the current AFC / NFC split.  Either way you slice it you gotta say GO GIANTS!!!!!!!

Additionally, high scoring games (40+ points) also correspond to good market years while lower scoring games (39 points or less) coincide with weaker years.  When the Giants and Patriots last played they had a combined score of 73 points!  Could it be a good year after all?

Below are the avg annual returns for the Dow

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[.NCOMP  Loading...      ()   ]for years that original AFL / NFL teams (Tampa Bay Bucs and Baltimore Raven expansion teams excluded) win the big game. Note NASDAQ data since 1972

• 39 Super Bowls with Original AFL / NFL teams
  25 NFL wins
  14 AFL wins
• Avg annual returns when NFL wins
  Dow up 14.7%
  S&P up 13.7%
  Nasdaq up 14.7%
• Avg annual returns when AFL wins
  Dow down -2.8%
  S&P down -0.4%
  Nasdaq up 7.7%

Using the current AFC / NFC delineations, you get the following:

• 41 Super bowls to date
  21 NFC wins
  20 AFC wins
• Avg annual returns when NFC wins
  Dow up 14.3%
  S&P up 13.8%
  Nasdaq up 15.6%
• Avg annual returns when AFC wins
  Dow up 2.0%
  S&P up 3.0%
  Nasdaq up 8.6%

Looking at High (40+) and Low scoring games:

• 41 Super bowls to date
  26 games with 40 or more total points
  15 games with 39 or fewer points
• Avg annual returns when total points scored are 40+
  Dow up 11.1%
  S&P up 11.8%
  Nasdaq up 17.2%
• Avg annual returns total points scored are less than 40
  Dow up 3.4%
  S&P up 2.9%
  Nasdaq up 2.6%
• Note - avgs when the NFC wins a low scoring game
  Dow up 10.5%
  S&P up 12.1%
  Nasdaq up 13.3%

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