Giovanny Moreano is a Quantitative Analyst at CNBC.
For the week and month ending Friday, August 29, 2008, the major U.S. Indices ended slightly lower for the week but up for the month. The markets had a volatile week, sinking first on housing price drops and an up-tick in oil prices, then rallying on better-than-expected GDP numbers, and finally falling to end the week on worse-than-expected personal income and spending data. The Dow hit a 200+ point rally on Thursday, its largest one day gain since 8/8. The NASDAQ led the indices to the downside this week, down nearly 2%. For the August close, the Dow, Nasdaq and S&P all finished up 1.5% or more, marking the best monthly gain since April for the Dow & S&P, and best month for the Nasdaq since May.
So far this year, the Russell 2000 index of small-cap companies continues to outperform the Dow, and the S&P 500. While most of these companies average only a $1 billion dollar market capitalization, some of their returns are proving resilient to an economic slowdown.
For the week ending Friday, August 22, 2008, the U.S. major Indices fell for the week on the unknown future of mortgage giants Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, downbeat home construction July data, and soaring producer prices. The NASDAQ Composite performed the worst for the week, declining 1.54%, its steepest decline since Independence Day week. However, Friday was a positive day for the markets helped by a welcome speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and a pull back in the price of crude. The Dow had three days of triple-digit point gains & losses, netting to finish almost flat for the week.
For the week ending Friday, August 15, 2008, U.S. major Indices finished mixed, after the markets digested negative results including a surge in CPI, a decline in retail sales, and continued expansion in unemployment claims. The Nasdaq Composite prevailed amongst the major U.S. indices, as it edged up 1.59% for the week, marking its fifth week of gains. Nasdaq gains were led by bullish comments on Amazon (AMZN) which gained 7.3% for the week. The likelihood of the eurozone moving toward recession allowed for a stronger dollar against the euro, continued pressure on oil, and a positive impact on U.S. stocks as a potential safe haven.
For the week ending Friday, August 8, 2008, the U.S. markets ended the week on a positive note, cheered by a retreat in commodity prices, a Fed’s decision to keep rates steady at 2%, better-than-expected results in pending home sales, and a stronger dollar.
For the week ending Friday, August 1, 2008, the markets finished relatively flat after a turbulent week that saw 4 straight days of triple-digit moves on the Dow. An early rally was dampened by weak economic data including weaker-than-expected GDP numbers and a rise in the unemployment rate.
For the week ending Friday, July 25, 2008, the markets closed mixed for the week, on negative housing data, and mixed earnings results. An early rally in financial and airlines stocks, supported by the continued slide in oil prices, was quickly wiped away by ongoing uncertainty in the economy. The Dow dropped more than 280 points on Thursday, marking the worst one day point drop in over a month. However, Friday saw a slight rebound on strong durable goods and a bounce back in consumer sentiment. Only the Nasdaq finished slightly up 1.2% for the week. The Dow and S&P finished down 1.09% and 0.23%, respectively.
What many investors call a price correction in the commodities market has taken a toll recently, especially in the energy sector, but the gains of some of these commodities remain above 30% year-to-date. Is this a buying opportunity or not?
A strong sell bias continues among company insiders across the market, as stocks breach trough historic levels.
If history is an indication, the stock market could extend its rally into December.
Even with the sharp gains in stock prices this year, 70 percent of the Dow components still offer dividend yields greater than 2 percent.
Turns out that Thanksgiving is about bulls as well as turkeys.