Skip navigation
MOST POPULAR RELATED TAGS
  • TOPICS
  • SECTORS
  • COMPANIES
 

  Current Housing Indicators
CURRENTPREVIOUS
Existing Home Sales4.49m4.74m
New Home Sales309,000344,000
Housing Starts583,000477,000
Building Permits547,000531,000
HMI9UNCH9
Existing Home Prices$170,300▼ (annually)$199,800
New Home Prices$201,100▼ (annually)$232,400
 
Realty Check Video Gallery
The USDA loan program is suddenly gaining steam, reports CNBC's Diana Olick.
Another government agency is guaranteeing loans, with CNBC's Diana Olick and the Power Lunch crew.
 
HOMEBUILDERS TOP 10 INDEX
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...

REALTY CHECK VIDEO

» More

Current DateTime: 05:32:35 23 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 30871294
Expiration DateTime: 11/23/2009 5:33:34 AM

RSS FEED

» Help

Current DateTime: 05:32:36 23 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 30871303
powered by digg

Realty Check

Text Size
Nov.10
2:04 PM ET
Monday, 10 Nov 2008
Fannie Mae's Future Looks Pretty Grim—Downright Scary

CNBC.com

Nothing like starting off a new week with a $29 billion net loss for the nation’s largest mortgage investor. Fannie Mae [FNM  Loading...      ()   ] is currently under government guard, with the conservatorship instituted in September, but it still apparently can’t keep its balance sheet from joining the ranks of other massive mortgage meltdowns that seem to be par for today’s course.

Former Fannie employees in formerly high-ranking positions had suggested to me a few months ago that the 10Q would look particularly grim this third quarter, for reasons part fiscal and part political. But I’m not interested in looking back; I’m looking forward, and unfortunately Fannie’s future looks pretty grim.

According to today’s filing, Fannie has “experienced reduced demand for our debt obligations from some of our historical sources of that demand, particularly in international markets. There are several factors contributing to the reduced demand for our debt securities, including continued severe market disruptions, market concerns about our capital position and the future of our business (including its future profitability, future structure, regulatory actions and agency status) and the extent of U.S. government support for our business.” And there you have it.

  • AIG Posts $24 Billion Loss
  • HSBC Profit Rises Despite US Charges
  • Citigroup in Talks to Buy a Bank?
  • Earnings Surprises: Meet, Beat, or Miss
  • Complete Earnings Coverage
  • I was also looking through what they call the “Credit Supplement” in the filing, specifically to see just how all those Fannie loans are doing, now that we’re all about modifications and saving the housing planet and all. It appears the 2006 and 2007 vintages of loans held or guaranteed by Fannie are on life support. Together they now make up 66 percent of the company’s Q3 credit losses. Were Fannie underwriters out for coffee for two years or what?? Remember, Fannie supposedly doesn’t do subprime loans. They did, however, do Alt-A loans, that is the low doc, no doc, don’t tell anyone anything about your ability to actually repay anything borrower. As one analyst put it to me this morning: “They just waved it in, yeah, they stopped underwriting - That is what Alt-A was.”

    This particular guy thinks the 07/08 vintages will be even worse, setting new records for defaults. In the 10Q Fannie detailed at length its modification programs including loan workouts, additional loans to help borrowers in financial difficulty bring loans current and increased outreach to delinquent borrowers. Nowhere did it say anything about actually writing down the principal on the loans, which is a requirement of the government bailout plans though not a requirement of the conservatorship. The CEOs of Fannie and Freddie recently said writing down principal would be necessary, but so far, I’m not seeing it.

    The feeling I get from this particular 10Q is brash uncertainty. And that’s a little scary, given today’s economic climate and the size of this particular mortgage entity. No wait, that’s a lot scary.

    Questions?  Comments? 

    © 2009 CNBC, Inc. All Rights Reserved

    Tools:
    PrintEmailAdd This share icon
    • digg share
    ADD COMMENTS
    Remaining characters


    Current DateTime: 05:27:33 23 Nov 2009
    LinksList Documentid: 29778428

    Current DateTime: 01:02:08 23 Nov 2009
    LinksList Documentid: 29779196

    Current DateTime: 01:45:44 23 Nov 2009
    LinksList Documentid: 29779199

    Current DateTime: 01:02:08 23 Nov 2009
    LinksList Documentid: 29779198
      Data is a real-time snapshot  *Data is delayed at least 15 minutes
    Global Business and Financial News, Stock Quotes, and Market Data and Analysis

    © 2009 CNBC, Inc.  All Rights Reserved.
    A Division of NBC Universal
    Thomson ReutersThomson Reuters