Skip navigation

Current DateTime: 03:08:03 23 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 24355697
  • Runway Angels

      The superbowl of fashion shows, models walk down the runway at the 2009 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show.

  • The Richest Members of the US Congress

      Recently, the Center for Responsive Politics found that there are 237 millionaires in the US Congress.

  • 10 Tips to Get Out of Debt

      Renowned financial author Gail Vaz-Oxlade takes a tough-love approach to helping couples in a financial crisis to face reality.

FEATURED QUIZZES


Current DateTime: 03:08:03 23 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 33793611
  • How Much Do You Know About Green?

      Green has become part of our everyday lives. Green is everywhere-- energy, clothing, food, housing, transportation. It's a big business and a global business.

  • The Billionaire BFF's

      Philanthropists. Bridge partners. Hockey players. Which responses are based on facts from Buffett's and Gates' real lives?

  • The Many Myths of Coca-Cola

      Can you tell which statements are true, and which ones are just rumors?


Current DateTime: 03:08:03 23 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 24890560
  • Winterizing Your Portfolio

      If 2009 was the winter of our discontent, will 2010 be a winter wonderland for investors? A lot depends on the recovery—or lack thereof.

  • Investor's Guide to Real Estate

      Some even say the long-awaited recovery is here. Regardless, buyers and sellers alike can profit from our guide.

  • Alternative Investing

      Stocks and bonds? Sure. But it's a big world out there for investors.

powered by digg
By: CNBC.com | 30 Jun 2009 | 08:05 AM ET
Text Size

Fears about inflation and hyperinflation could create another economic downturn, bigger than the one the world went through, Hugh Hendry, chief investment officer at hedge fund Eclectica, told CNBC Tuesday.

Dollar and Euro
The stock markets are due for a correction after having risen dramatically this year, but this is not likely to come in the summer and another rally is possible, Hendry, who said he was remaining risk-adverse this year, told "Squawk Box Europe."

"We have a huge intellectual conviction… that this is a more profound downturn that we're experiencing and markets will be under pressure," Hendry said.

"People get more get more concerned about government debt… and it sows the seeds of its own destruction," Hendry said. "We're actually tightening the screw, we make monetary policy tighter and tighter."

Long-term yields on government bonds have been rising, as investors fear central banks, especially in the US and the UK, will have to absorb excess liquidity from the system and raise interest rates to fend off inflation once an economic recovery takes hold.

"I think this paranoia today that inflation is happening today I think it puts in place a motion for a decline in the economy," Hendry said. "I think they're not printing enough money… with regards to the wealth destruction that has been happening over the past 18 months."

- Watch the full Hugh Hendry interview here >>>

"We raised interest rates and actually we killed the golden goose," he added.

Stock Market Correction

A correction in the stock market is likely, but it will not come over the summer, and the S&P 500 index may even hit 1,000 before the downturn, according to Hendry, who admitted he is not stepping in to catch the tail of the rally.

"It's kind of fun watching it from the sidelines, I must say I'm not participating," he said. "My flower opens in the winter, not in the summer."

There is a tight correlation between the oil price and the Chinese currency, the yuan, with oil prices rising as the yuan was strengthening, Hendry said. This is because Chinese speculators had borrowed in dollars as the yuan firmed, and all that liquidity was thrown into the oil market last year.

"The one non-confirmation in the world is that, since July, the Chinese currency has done nothing, it was flat vis-à-vis the dollar," he added.

Hendry said he still prefers conventional government bonds, and admitted they were the cause his fund was 3 to 4 percent down on the year. But, he added, government bonds were down 20 percent – although he doesn't think they will end the year like this.

China and other countries with a current account surplus are not as safe as they seem at first glance, because their economies are still hugely dependent on exports to the US, which is still "down on its luck," he said.

"If that's the case, the last place you want to be is the surplus countries," Hendry said.

© 2009 CNBC.com
Tools:
Print EmailAdd This share icon
  • digg share

CNBC HIGHLIGHTS

  • Technology can make or break a fortune in the world of alternative energy.
  • Warren Buffett and Bill Gates discuss the economy and other subjects with CNBC's Becky Quick.
  • Many people are facing the holidays with substantially smaller incomes. Here’s how some are adapting.
  • Jim Cramer
  • Jim Cramer is a proponent of stocks that pay healthy dividends, and here are his top five dividend plays.
  • real estate signs
  • The homebuyer's tax credit jacked sales for a while, but 2010 is looking weak. Now what?
  • CNBC’s technology reporter Jim Goldman guides you through the best gadgets to buy this holiday season.
ADD COMMENTS
Remaining characters


Current DateTime: 01:36:01 23 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 29778428

Current DateTime: 01:00:10 23 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 29779196

Current DateTime: 01:45:44 23 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 29779199

Current DateTime: 01:00:11 23 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 29779198
  Data is a real-time snapshot  *Data is delayed at least 15 minutes
Global Business and Financial News, Stock Quotes, and Market Data and Analysis

© 2009 CNBC, Inc.  All Rights Reserved.
A Division of NBC Universal
Thomson ReutersThomson Reuters