Trader Talk
![]()
- S&P 500 Down — But Not By Much
- EU Finance Ministers Won't Get Fooled Again
- Why Is Market So 'Tired' With Good News?
- What Exactly Have Greeks Agreed To?
- A Greek Deal, but What Is the Deal?
- No Greek Debt Deal? No Problem! (Maybe)
- Irish Finance Minister Causes Draghi's Worst Nightmare
- Caesars' Wild Open
- Forget the Incredible Shrinking Greek Politicians—It’s Draghi Time!
- Trading Day Has Lots of Moving Parts
TRADER TALK RSS FEED
MOST SHARED
- US Stocks Avoid Closing Down Over 1%, Again
- When Love and the Fed Collide
- How Rescuing Greece Could Destroy the World
- Commodities Next Week: Why Gas Prices Are Heading Toward $5 Per Gallon
- 2012: The Year of the Stock Picker
- Get Ready for $5 Gas This Year: Ex-Shell CEO
- Pauley Perrette's Southern Bakery a Hit in Manhattan
- Private Homebuilders: Dead Men Walking
- Why Greece Will Default, Leave the Euro Zone
- Apple’s Record Run: $500 Is a Magic Number
- In Search of America's ‘Hottest Forecasters’
- Dow vs. S&P 500: Which is a Better Investment?
- Mick Fleetwood on the MP3 ‘Dumbing Down’ of Music
- Avis on the Road to Strong Growth: Analyst
- Private Homebuilders: Dead Men Walking
- LinkedIn’s Growth Is Already Priced In: Analyst
- The Real Reason Behind Bank of America’s Rally
- 5 Hedge Funds’ Top Stocks Soar After 2011 Rout
- This Valentine’s Day Love Is Served on a Silver Platter
- We're Not Greece: Italian Prime Minister Monti
- Private Homebuilders in the US: Dead Men Walking
- Dividend Payout Could Hit Record Amount This Year
- With Investors So Bullish, Stock Pullback Must Be Ahead
- Is Bill Gross, PIMCO's Bond King, Losing His Touch?
- Why Saving Greece Could Destroy the World
- Apple’s Record Run: $500 Is a Magic Number
- Housing Still Hurting Consumers, Economy: Bernanke
- Get Ready for $5 Gas This Year: Ex-Shell CEO
Financial Advisors Under Fire
Reporter
The debate over leveraged and inverse ETFs has been getting a bit heated recently. Here is the worry: federal regulators are concerned that financial advisors are not adequately explaining to the public what these ETFs do--and don't do.
Financial advisors are now concerned they may have left themselves open to potential lawsuits. Several have already decided not to offer them, and all of them will be tightening their language.
The problem: tracking error. Leveraged ETFs are designed to give you leverage, say 200 percent of the return on an index, like the S&P 500. So if the index goes up 10 percent in a day, you make 20 percent. Inverse ETFs are the opposite: say, 200 percent of the inverse of the index, so if the index goes up 10 percent in a day, you lose 20 percent, and vice-versa.
But because these ETFs reset at the end of each day, there is the potential for significant tracking error from the underlying index.
Here's an easy example.
Say on Day 1, you buy an ETF that gives you 200 percent of the daily return of an index. Say this index is at 100 at the start of the day, and it goes up 10 percent, so it closes at 110.
Your 200 percent ETF will go up twice as much, so the ETF goes up 20 percent, from 100 to 120.
Congratulations.
You made money.
Now it's Day 2. The underlying index goes DOWN 10 percent, so it goes from 110 to 99.
Your two-day return on the index: minus 1 percent.
But look at the 200 percent ETF. It goes DOWN twice as much, so it's down 20 percent. It goes from 120 to 96. Your two-day return: down 4 percent.
Wait a minute!
The index is down 1 percent, so you would think your 200 percent ETF would be down twice as much, or 2 percent. But it's not: it's down 4 percent.
This mismatch is called tracking error, and it can get worse--or better--as time goes on. The tracking error can be especially acute during times of heavy volatility, where the markets go up and down.
There will likely be less tracking error when the market has been moving more smoothly in one direction or another.
One example: the S&P 500 is up 10 percent year to date. ProShares Ultra S&P 500 (SSO), which is designed to give you twice the DAILY return of the S&P 500, is up only 15.5 percent, well short of the 20 percent gain you might expect (twice the return).
However, if you look on a shorter term--one month, where the market has been mostly going up, the S&P is up 8 percent, the Ultra is up 16 percent, exactly what you would expect--twice the return.
So does this mean individual investors should not use these inverse and leveraged ETFs, or not for more than one day? The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) last week clarified their guidance on this by saying "Leveraged and inverse ETFs can be appropriate if recommended as part of a sophisticated trading strategy that will be closely monitored by a financial professional. At times, this trading strategy might require a leveraged or inverse ETF to be held longer than one day."
The bottom line is that you need to understand what these instruments are; they may end up being used largely by sophisticated, active investors.
_____________________________
- The Dow 30 in Real Time
- World’s Most Beautiful Currencies
- Slideshow: What Does $1 Trillion Look Like?
- The CNBC Stock Blog
_____________________________
Questions? Comments?
- Marketing clichés aside, sometimes diamonds are for investing.
- The ‘Fast Money’ traders weigh in on fashion related stocks from apparel to footwear.
- This list of the 10 most active cities for speed traps was compiled by Trapster.com. See if your town is there.
- This Valentine’s Day should prove a love fest for restaurants, as many couples will be dining out.
- Here’s a look at Westminster Kennel Club’s most successful breeds—and how much they cost.
- What kind of homes do celebrity couples share? Here’s our updated list. Take a look.
- S&P 500 Down — But Not By Much
- EU Finance Ministers Won't Get Fooled Again
- Why Is Market So 'Tired' With Good News?
- What Exactly Have Greeks Agreed To?
- A Greek Deal, but What Is the Deal?
- No Greek Debt Deal? No Problem! (Maybe)
- Irish Finance Minister Causes Draghi's Worst Nightmare
- Caesars' Wild Open
- Forget the Incredible Shrinking Greek Politicians—It’s Draghi Time!
- Trading Day Has Lots of Moving Parts











