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Halftime—The Better Trade: Target or Walmart?

Target's stock rebounded after executives on a conference call said the retailer should meet analysts' expectations for the rest of the year.

But is it a trap for traders? No, said Patty Edwards, principal at Storehouse Partners. The Minneapolis-based company has been executing better, she said. For the rest of the year, she thinks it will be smooth sailing for the retail giant, albeit at a lower level. Yet she's not too excited about Target, or other retail names right now.

Joe Terranova, chief market strategist at Vitrus Investment Partners, thought Target's report was interested. The grocery sections seem to be working, he said. He is concerned about their inventory, however, and said their bottom line is starting to wane.

Terranova had been guiding people from Target to shares of Walmart , but Edwards might have convinced him otherwise. Walmart's management is in "disarray," she said. There are several moving parts that you have to take into consideration, so she's not sure Walmart would outperform Target in the fourth quarter.

Walmart is a great company, it's tough to get excited about its stock, said Zach Karabell, president of RiverTwice Research. For the past five years, the stock traded between $45 and $55 a share, he noted. He owns Lowe's , but is not really happy with it and said the retail sector is "problematic at best."

The retail space is interesting, said Brian Kelly, founder of Kanundrum Capital. Companies that everyone thought would do well, like Home Depot , have disappointed. The home improvement store surprised the Street when it said sales were slow and the back half of the year was just OK. It seems consumers are only buying what they need, he said.

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TRADING THE AG SPACE

Shares of Potash are trading higher as investors bet the fertilizer maker is worth a lot more than BHP Billiton is offering to pay for it.

Look outside of the pure fertilizer plays to join the rally in agriculture stocks, said Zach Karabell, president of RiverTwice Research. There is increased demand around the world for food production, so he recommends looking at Monsanto or DuPont .

This is more of a global food story rather than a fertilizer story, added Brian Kelly, founder of Kanundrum Capital. With a burgeoning middle class, farmers need to grow more with less, he said. At the same time, growing conditions are poor around the world. That benefits US wheat farmers, so he likes The Andersons .

Joe Terranova, chief market strategist at Vitrus Investment Partners, owns Potash. He continues to recommend the stock.

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10 YEAR TREASURY BOND TO HIT 1%?

Investors continue to seek out safety for small returns in Treasurys, but could the 10 Year Treasury Note drop to 1%.

For twenty years, the 10 Year Treasury Note has been trending downward, said Brian Kelly, founder of Kanundrum Capital. This pattern has been fueled by the Baby Boomers, who seek more yield. But at the rate the yield on the 10 Year has been declining, Kelly said it could drop to 1%. The bond currently yields 2.5%.

Kelly had owned iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond exchange-traded fund, but sold it. He doesn't plan on getting back in for the remainder of the year.

"I don't see any reason to loan the government money for 10 years at 2.5%," Kelly said. "There's much better places to play."

If you want a diversified portfolio of bonds, look at the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond or the SPDR Barclays Capital High Yield Bond exchange-traded funds, said Patty Edwards, principal at Storehouse Partners, has a few options. She also mentioned a 4 Year bond from Citicorp that yields 3.67%.

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BONDS IN A BUBBLE?

Despite yields at historic lows, investors are still hot on the bond market. However, it begs the question: Are bonds in a bubble?

For answers, we turned to Peter Boockvar of Miller Tabak.

Watch the videoto see the full interview.

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CALL TO THE FLOOR

Shares of New Jersey's finest intimate apparel maker, Maidenform Brands , are enticing investors after its second-quarter profits soared 88%.

To talk about that accomplishment and what's next for the company, CEO Maurice Reznik stopped by our Fast Money studios.

Watch the video to see the full interview.

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CALL THE CLOSE

"I think this market has stabilized, but it's not likely to be overly exciting until after Labor Day," said Zach Karabell, president of RiverTwice Research.

Patty Edwards, principal at Storehouse Partners, is staying hedged.

Joe Terranova, chief market strategist at Vitrus Investment Partners, thinks the market goes higher.

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Trader disclousres for Aug. 18, 2010:

Brian Kelly
Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital own (RIMM)
Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital own (GLD)
Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital own (GDXJ)
Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital own (ANDE)
Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital own U.S. Dollar
Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital own Japanese Yen
Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital own Swiss Franc

Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital is short (AFL)
Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital is short (IAI)
Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital is short (RTH)
Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital is short the U.K. Pound
Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital is short (MCO)

Patty Edwards
Edwards owns (WMT) for clients
Edwards owns (F) for clients
Edwards owns (JPM) for clients
Edwards owns (BAC) for clients
Edwards owns (SYT) for clients
Edwards owns (LQD) for clients
Edwards owns (JNK) for clients
Edwards owns (LLDYX) for clients

Joe Terranova
Terranova owns (AKAM)
Terranova owns (V)
Terranova owns (NRG)
Terranova owns (POT)
Terranova owns (OXY)
Terranova owns (GLD)
Terranova owns (BAX)
Terranova owns (MOS)
Terranova owns (PFE)
Terranova owns (SU)
Terranova owns (XBI)
Terranova owns (GOOG)
Terranova owns (LRCX)
Terranova owns (AXP)
Terranova owns (C)
Terranova owns (GS)
Terranova owns (BMO)
Terranova owns (MSFT)
Terranova owns (QCOM)
Terranova owns (FCX)
Terranova owns (APA)

Terranova is chief market strategist of Virtus Investment Partners, LTD.
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (ABAX)
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (ALK)
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (AMKR)
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (CASS)
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (CSVI)
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (XLY)
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (XLP)
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (DRYS)
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (EXR)
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (XLI)
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (IGE)
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (LDR)
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (LPHI)
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (XLB)
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (MGRC)
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (NRCI)
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (DBV)
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (SUBK)
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (XLK)
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (XLU)
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (WDFC)
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (YDNT)

Zach Karabell
Karabell owns (RIMM)
Karabell owns (POT)
Karabell owns (BHP)
Karabell owns (GS)
Karabell owns (MON)
Karabell owns (C)

Peter Boockvar
***No Disclosures***

Symbol
Price
 
Change
%Change
ANDE
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BHP
---
DD
---
HD
---
JNK
---
LOW
---
ILF
---
M2P
---
MO
---
POT
---
TGT
---
ISH BAR 20YTB
---
WMT
---

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