Kass doesn't think QE2 will be all that big or all that powerful. ”In the last 24 hours we’re hearing from 3 Fed Reserve presidents that the Fed is hesitant to come into the market guns a blazing.”
To make matters that much worse, Kass suggests current gains are strictly due to momentum - just "a combination of algorithms and technical price momentum based strategies."
And long term, he thinks a weaker dollar is potentially catastrophic for the equity market. Though he concedes that in the short term "the weaker dollar improves our export base," in the long term he says "it encourages uneconomic economic activity such as government deficit spending. Then we get asset price inflation which is unsupported by cash flows. And we get huge inflation in commodities."
And all of that adds up to a toxic combination.
We know that Kass is renown as a bear so the negative commentary isn’t that surprising.
But Kass has an uncanny knack for reading the market. Less than a week before the S&P 500 hit a generational low of 676 on March 9, 2009, Kass went on CNBC and predicted the bottom. On July 6, 2010, he said the market had made its lows for the year and so far, that has also proved to be true.
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Trader disclosure: On Sept. 29, 2010, the following stocks and commodities mentioned or intended to be mentioned on CNBC’s Fast Money were owned by the Fast Money traders; Terranova Owns (APA), (AAPL), (ARUN), (BMO), (C), (IBM), (HES), (JOYG), (XBI), (FTO), (OXY), (ORCL), (PEP), (POT), (RSH), (SU), (RIG), (UPL), (VRTS); Adami owns (AGU), (BTU), (NUE), (C), (GS), (INTC), (MSFT); Adami’s wife works at Merck; Grasso owns (ASTM), (BA), (BAC), (C), (CSCO), (JPM), (LPX), (MO), (MOT), (NDAQ), (PFE), (PRST)
For Joe Terranova
Terranova is chief market strategist of Virtus Investment Partners, LTD.
Virtus Investment Partners own more than 1% of (ABAX)
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For Patty Edwards
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Edwards owns (JPM) for clients
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Edwards owns (SYT) for clients
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Edwards owns (QQQQ) for clients
For Brian Kelly
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Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital owns U.S. Dollars
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Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital own Swiss Franc
Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital are short (XLF)
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Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital are short the Mexican Peso
Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital are short the U.K. Pound
For Steve Grasso:
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (AMGN)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (BAX)
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Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (NWS.A)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (NYX)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (PDE)
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For Kevin Pleines
Birinyi owns (AMZN)
For Doug Kass
***No Disclosures***
For Joe LaVorgna
***No Disclosures***
For Mike Khouw
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