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How Will Markets Perform in June? Here's a Hint

Tuesday, 31 May 2011 | 9:06 AM ET

Tired of May? Well, here comes June. And that’s likely not good news for investors either.

Although September is historically the worst month for the markets, June has been the most consistently troublesome month in recent years. The Dow has been down for six straight Junes, and since 2000, the blue-chip index has been up in June just twice.

So how has the Dow’s performance in June fared against its returns in other months? Since 2000, June has been the index’s worst month:


Furthermore, there haven’t been any good places to hide in June in recent years. Since 2000, each of the ten S&P 500 sectors have averaged a decline in June.

Historic Performance in June

Dow since 1896:

  • On average, the Dow has gained 0.22 percent during June
  • Up 49 percent of the time in June, and Down 51 percent of the time
  • The Best June was in 1938, when it rose 24.26 percent
  • The Worst June was in 1930, when it fell -17.72 percent
  • June on average ranks as the fourth worst month out of the year for the Dow
  • On average, the Dow has gained 0.81 percent during June when May has been a negative month, and up 51 percent of the time

S&P since 1928:

  • On average, the S&P has gained 0.72 percent during June
  • Up 54 percent of the time in June, and Down 46 percent of the time
  • The Best June was in 1938, when it rose 24.7 percent
  • The Worst June was in 1930, when it fell -17.6 percent
  • June on average ranks as the fifth worst month out of the year for the S&P
  • On average, the S&P has gained 0.99 percent during June when May has been a negative month, and up 46 percent of the time

NASDAQ Composite since 1971:

  • On average, the NASDAQ Composite has gained 0.77 percent during June
  • Up 58 percent of the time in June, and Down 42 percent of the time
  • The Best June was in 2000, when it rose 16.6 percent
  • The Worst June was in 2002, when it fell -9.44 percent
  • June on average ranks as the sixth best month out of the year for the NASDAQ
  • On average, the NASDAQ has gained 1.45 percent during June when May has been a negative month, and up 56 percent of the time

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