The dollar/yen is moving steadily towards the 84 resistance level. There is a high probability of a retreat developing from this area.
Ben Collett, Head of Japanese Equities, Louis Capital Markets says that Japan's central bank is unlikely to move on rates until after the general elections.
Sean Callow, Senior Currency Strategist, Westpac Bank says a further tranche of Greek aid could help push the Euro higher. He adds that investors should sell into the currency at 1.29.
A political call for monetary easing is roiling the yen and upending traders' longstanding risk-based strategies.
Risk appetite is on the rise and the Bank of India is ready to move — it's time for your FX Fix.
Expectations for aggressive monetary easing by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) are driving the yen lower, but economists rule out such policy action when the central bank concludes a two-day policy meeting on Tuesday.
Japanese stocks have rallied over five percent in the past week on the prospect of the opposition Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) - a proponent of unlimited monetary easing – winning a majority in the December elections, and analysts forecast bumper gains for the country’s equity markets if this scenario plays out.
David Forrester, Senior Vice President of G10 FX Strategy at Macquarie, suggests selling the euro against the dollar on rallies back towards the 1.30 level as Greek financing talks will likely have limited impact.
Tomohiko Taniguchi, Special Guest Professor from the Graduate School of SDM, Keio University discusses the future of the Bank of Japan and the development of the energy policy under a Shinzo Abe-led government.
Brian Jackson, Global FX Strategist, Coutts expects the yen to weaken over the next 6-9 months. He adds that the scenario will depend on a LDP victory and its subsequent influence on the BOJ.
Richard Yetsenga, Head of Global Markets Research, ANZ says Japan is likely to hurt fiscal financing if it succeeds in lowering the yen, as JGB yields will probably rise above 1% with more policy intervention.
Russell Jones, Global Head of Fixed Income Strategy, Westpac Institutional Bank sees a prolonged period of yen weakness if the Bank of Japan takes a more aggressive stance, following the potential leadership changes in Japan.
The currency markets should be less volatile ahead of the U.S. holiday, and that means good news for a key risk-sensitive currency.
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