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Four Black Friday Retail Winners: Pro

Friday, 23 Nov 2012 | 2:23 PM ET
Paul Taggart | Bloomberg | Getty Images

As Black Friday kicks into full swing, one analyst detailed four retail stocks that are the early morning winners with the most traffic so far.

In an interview with CNBC's "Squawk on the Street," UBS analyst Roxanne Meter said she is seeing cleaner balance sheets and better controlled inventories at retailers compared to last year.

"I think what you see going on is you've got a reversal of sourcing cost pressure so now retailers will have more power to promote and still be able to maintain margins," Meyer said.

Last year, retailers entered the holiday season with too much inventory so they had to discount extensively. But because of the reversal of sourcing cost pressure, Meyer expects companies to mimic 2011's promotions or even increase them while also maintaining healthy bottom lines.

Black Friday Traffic At Malls
Early morning retail winners are Express, Victoria Secret, and American Eagle, reports Roxanne Meyer, UBS analyst.

So far she is "pretty encouraged about the start" to the crucial shopping holiday and estimated that the average discount is about 40 percent, roughly flat compared last year's markdowns.

"If we had to sum up who are the early morning winners and really seeing the most traffic, it would be Express, Victoria's Secret, Urban Outfitters and American Eagle Outfitters, " Meyer said.

She also cited TJX Cos. and Ross Stores as having continued strength this year as off-price retailers become more mainstream with the average consumer.

—By CNBC.com's Katie Little; Follow Her on Twitter @katie_little

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Disclosures:

Roxanne Meyer does not own shares of the companies mentioned in this article.

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