Money in Motion

How to Trade the Upcoming FOMC Meeting


You never know what the Federal Reserve will pull out of its sleeve. This strategist has a playbook for the upcoming FOMC meeting.

All the currency news seems to be coming from Europe, but Tuesday's FOMC meeting could generate some non-euro headlines. Andrew Busch, global currency and public policy strategist for BMO Capital, has three possible scenarios for the meeting - and a trade on one.

Busch believes the FOMC could either do nothing, add to its $400 billion twist program with mortgages and warn of risks from Europe, or do nothing but give new rules for targeting inflation. 

The third outcome, he told CNBC's Melissa Lee, is "a fun outcome that I would like to trade."

To do so, Busch would sell euros and buy Swedish kronas. "This is a risk-on trade," he says. And he thinks the upcoming meeting of the Swedish central bank could push the euro higher against the krona, providing a chance to put the trade on at attractive levels.

Busch would sell the euro against the krona at 9.0400 with a stop at 9.0850 and a target of 8.8650.

"I don't think this is the most probable outcome," he says. "But if this occurs, this is a great way to trade it."

2012 Currency Shocker

You can watch the whole discussion on this videotape.



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