(last updated on Oct 8 with Aug industrial and construction output,
Aug foreign trade and Sept unemployment)===============================================================================KEY INTEREST RATES 2-WEEK REPO DISCOUNT LOMBARDrate 0.25 pct 0.10 pct 0.75 pctlast changed(date of decision) Sept 27, 2012 Sept 27, 2012 Sept 27, 2012former rate 0.50 pct 0.25 pct 1.50 pct===============================================================================CZECH GDP (pct) Q2-12/Q1-12 Q2-12/Q2-11Real change -0.2(-0.2) -1.0(-1.2)Final consumption -1.1 -2.6Household -1.1 -3.3Government -1.1 -0.9Gross capital formation 8.4 -5.2Fixed 7.0 0.0Foreign tradeExports -4.2 3.9of goods -3.9 4.8of services -6.3 -1.2Imports -2.9 1.1of goods -3.3 0.3of services -0.3 6.4CZECH GDP 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007Real change pct 1.7 2.6 -4.5 2.9 5.7CONSUMER INFLATION 08/12 07/12 08/11pct change month/month -0.1 -0.1 -0.3pct change year/year 3.3 3.1 1.7
NOTE. The average rate of inflation over the past 12 monthswas 3.1 percent through August.
CZECH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 07/12 06/12 07/11 01-07/12(CZK billion)I. CURRENT ACCOUNT -11.50 -6.82 -20.01 4.82Trade balance 11.93 18.66 0.06 113.35Balance of services 5.05 4.20 6.09 31.02Income balance -25.06 -28.37 -22.46 -133.15Current transfers -3.42 -1.32 -3.71 -6.39II. CAPITAL ACCOUNT 0.69 0.04 0.03 1.34III. FINANCIAL ACCOUNT -4.60 -3.75 -4.47 12.92Net Direct Investment 16.70 -4.24 -3.99 65.74Czech abroad -2.78 -1.03 -1.25 -13.55Into Czech Republic 19.48 -3.22 -2.75 79.29Net Portfolio Investment 15.08 4.87 1.68 55.33Assets 12.65 0.54 6.69 -5.18Liabilities 2.43 4.33 -5.01 60.51Other Investments -40.73 -9.24 -0.48 -118.27Change in foreign exchangereserves (minus = growth) 3.95 6.19 -0.47 7.30IV. BALANCE OF OMISSIONS &EXCHANGE RATE ADJUSTMENTS 15.41 10.53 24.45 -19.08
NOTE. All 2012 figures are subject to revision. The 2011 figures arerevised. The CNB releases the monthly figures according to ECB methodology.
CZECH STATE BUDGET 01-09/12 01-08/12 01-09/11revenue (CZK bln) 757.14 665.12 741.87expenditure 828.56 732.14 847.00balance -71.41 -67.02 -105.14NOTE. The full-year 2012 central state budget was approved with a gap of105.0 billion crowns.FOREIGN TRADE 08/12 07/12 08/11 01-08/12(in bln CZK)exports 237.52 244.75(242.95) 220.13 2,033.41imports 220.62 220.43(217.10) 218.88 1,826.47balance 16.90 24.33 (25.85) 1.25 206.94
DYNAMICS OF TRADE (pct y/y change in CZK terms)
nominal exports 7.9 11.1 (10.3) 11.4 8.9nominal imports 0.8 5.8 (4.2) 11.2 4.0
FOREIGN TRADE UNDER NATIONAL CONCEPT
(in bln CZK) 08/12 07/12 08/11exports 200.19 206.32(207.63) 183.96imports 202.27 202.71(201.69) 198.38balance -2.08 3.62 (5.94) -14.43NOTE. All data are subject to further revision. Numbers may not add up dueto rounding.CZECH FOREX RESERVES END-SEPT 12 END-AUG 12 END-SEPT 11euro bln 31.478 31.734 30.133$ bln 40.521 40.014 40.693CZK bln 782.697 788.266 745.937{TXT}NOTE. The bank said it sold foreign currency worth an equivalent of 92million euros in the spot foreign exchange market operations in August. Itbought foreign currency worth of 30.3 million euros in client operations inAugust.CZECH M2 MONEY SUPPLY END-JUNE 12 END-MAY 12 END-JUNE 11M1 change yr/yr 8.4 7.8 8.7M2 change yr/yr 6.5 6.1 2.3Loans to businessesand households yr/yr 4.2 4.5 5.1M2-M1 (deposits) yr/yr 2.4 2.6 -9.0CZECH UNEMPLOYMENT 09/12 08/12 09/11pct of workforce 8.4 8.3 8.0number of availablejobless 478,548 472,120 458,156
total number of jobless 493,185 486,693 475,115
NOTE. The number of available jobless shows how many people registered asunemployed by labour offices are able to start work shortly. The total number ofjobless is for all jobless registered by labour offices.
PRODUCER PRICES 08/12 07/12 08/11Industrial pricespct change month/month 0.5 -0.3 -0.1pct change year/year 1.9 1.3 5.7Construction pricespct change month/month 0.0 0.0 -0.1pct change year/year -0.4 -0.5 -0.5Agricultural pricespct change month/month -0.9 -0.1 -3.0pct change year/year 4.6 2.4 16.4Servicespct change month/month 0.0 -1.3 0.0pct change year/year -0.9 -0.9 0.9
NOTE. All data are subject to further revision.
GOVERNMENT DEBT Q2/12 Q1/12 2011 Q2/11(CZK bln)total 1,635.7 1,613.0 1,499.4 1,412.9average maturity(in years) 5.7 5.7 5.8 6.0
marketable debt 1,530.2 1,521.5 1,407.5 1,345.4
modified duration(in years) 4.4 4.3 4.4 4.4
NOTE. Data show levels as of the end of the period listed.The modified duration figure stands for marketable debt only andincludes the Finance Ministry's interest rate swap transactions.
Average maturity was within the ministry's target of 5.0-6.0 years.
AVG WAGE Q2/12 Q1/12 Q2/11 H1/12 H1/11Monthly wage (nominal) 24,626 24,052 24,079 24,341 23,684real change y/y (pct) -1.1 -0.4 0.6 -0.7 0.6nominal change y/y 2.3 3.3 2.4 2.8 2.4
NOTE. All data are subject to further revision.
INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT 08/12 07/12 08/11 01-08/12Real pct change y/y -3.1 4.2 5.3 0.6CONSTRUCTION OUTPUTreal pct change y/y -4.7 -0.5 -9.5 -5.4
NOTE. All data are subject to further revision.
08/12 07/12 08/11 01-08/12RETAIL SALES (pct chg y/y) -0.8 0.3 3.0 -0.6NOTE. All data are subject to further revision and are not seasonallyadjusted.ECONOMIC FORECASTS: GDP CPI C/A FISCAL DATE2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013Finance Ministry -0.5 1.0 3.2 2.2 -2.2 -2.6 -3.2 -2.9 07/12Czech central bank -0.9 0.8 3.4 2.2 -2.1 -1.4 -3.3 -2.4 08/12
NOTE. - GDP - Gross domestic product growth (pct yr/yr)
- CPI - Average inflation (pct)
- C/A - Current account (pct/GDP)
- FISCAL - Public sector deficit (pct/GDP)
- DATE - The date of the forecast release
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))(Editing by Mirka Krufova)
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Keywords: CZECH INDICATORS/