×

This is a 'game changer' for crude: Top technician

Crude settled down 1.5 percent Wednesday after surging to a 10-week high early in the session. Oil is now up 28 percent from its late August low, and one top technician insists the rally is just getting started.

"The big story in the fourth quarter thus far is this surge in energy," Rich Ross said Wednesday on CNBC's "Trading Nation." Energy is the best-performing S&P sector so far this quarter, up more than 10 percent as oil has rallied 7 percent in the same period. "I don't think it's too late to take advantage of this recent surge and play for an extension of this move."

Read More The time has come to buy energy stocks: Strategist

Looking at a chart of the OIH, the ETF that tracks oil service stocks, Ross, head of technical analysis at Evercore ISI, noted a recent completion of a "very bullish double bottom" formation. This is a pattern technical analysts often recognize as a reversal in trend, where a stock or ETF will fall to a low, retest that low and then move higher.


"Admittedly we saw a similar double bottom earlier this year that produced a nice rally but it ultimately failed," said Ross, whose work was recently recognized by Institutional Investor's 2015 All-America Research Team. "At the very least [this time] I think we are set up for a tactical move coming off this double bottom."

Read MoreInvestors tread carefully despite oil rally

For Ross, there are two key levels to watch on the chart: resistance, which comes in at $32, and then the 200-day moving average around $34.

"I think we will retest $32 and a break above that should get us to that moving average," he said. "We haven't seen the north side of the 200-day for over a year, so clearly a break above $34 is a game changer." That would be an 8 percent move from the Wednesday afternoon trading price of around $31.40.

"I think crude oil and the OIH by extension have what it takes to move higher from here," added Ross. "Take advantage of this early quarter strength."

Want to be a part of the Trading Nation? If you'd like to call into our live Wednesday show, email your name, number and a question to TradingNation@cnbc.com

Videos

Trades to Watch

Trader Bios

About

Trading Nation is a multimedia financial news program that shows investors and traders how to use the news of the day to their advantage. This is where experts from across the financial world – including macro strategists, technical analysts, stock-pickers, and traders who specialize in options, currencies, and fixed income – come together to find the best ways to capitalize on recent developments in the market. Trading Nation: Where headlines become opportunities.

Brian Sullivan

Brian Sullivan is co-anchor of CNBC's "Power Lunch" (M-F,1PM-3PM ET), one of the network's longest running programs, as well as the host of the daily investing program "Trading Nation." He is also a frequent guest on MSNBC's "Morning Joe" and other NBC properties.

Read more

Connect