The S&P 500 is down about 8 percent to start the year. That's an infrequent situation — in fact, this is the first time we've been so far down this early in the year in three decades, but it doesn't mean the market is doomed.
The market often bounces back when it's this far down in the first quarter. Hover on the chart below to see the odds change during the course of the year. Notice it keeps going down, which makes sense. The longer the market stays negative during the course of the year, the harder it is to end up finishing positive.