Donald Trump now faces two major hurdles to getting the Republican nomination for president. First, it appears he may fall short of the 1,237 delegates needed to lock down the nomination before the GOP convention in Cleveland in July. Second, if he does lack the delegates, his chief rival, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, may outflank him on subsequent ballots.
On the delegate count front, Trump now has 739 to 465 for Cruz with 944 outstanding. So Trump needs to win 53 percent of the remaining delegates. But Trump is clearly losing momentum to Cruz.
Cruz's lead would likely be much larger with Kasich out of the race. Trump's lead is also narrowing in many national polls, with the latest Fox News poll showing him leading Cruz by just 3 points, 41 percent to 38 percent, within the survey's margin of error. Kasich clocks in at 19 percent, suggesting that without the Ohio governor in the race, Cruz would likely be leading Trump, perhaps by a substantial margin.