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After Brexit, here are the risks the market is still underestimating: Traders

A continued decline in global growth and struggling European stocks could present the biggest risks to the global markets, according to two market watchers.

"Global growth is going to continue to decelerate roughly about 2 percent over the next 12 to 18 months," Chad Morganlander of Stifel Nicolaus said Tuesday on CNBC's Power Lunch. He added that this adversely impacts global earnings in the United States, especially for S&P 500 companies.

"So we would be concerned about that, especially with valuations at forward looking [price-to-earnings] multiples of 17 times. We believe we're a bit stretched," Morganlander said.

The S&P 500 and Dow plunged in the immediate market fallout after the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union, alongside an even sharper decline in many European markets. But rather than spotting bargains, Morganlander said potential investors should focus on credit growth, particularly in emerging markets.

"If you start to see a rapid deterioration there, that would be a bear sign for the overall global economy and the global markets," he added.

Oppenheimer technical analyst Ari Wald said continues risk from European financials pose the biggest concern now.

Looking a chart of the STOXX Europe 600 bank index going back to 1995, Wald said the trends indicate further declines are ahead, so this is one area of the market investors should continue to sell.


"We can see this equity market topping out at the same level it topped out at in 2000 and 2007, so still in secular decline, now breaking a seven-year uptrend as well," he said Tuesday.


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Trading Nation is a multimedia financial news program that shows investors and traders how to use the news of the day to their advantage. This is where experts from across the financial world – including macro strategists, technical analysts, stock-pickers, and traders who specialize in options, currencies, and fixed income – come together to find the best ways to capitalize on recent developments in the market. Trading Nation: Where headlines become opportunities.

Brian Sullivan

Brian Sullivan is co-anchor of CNBC's "Power Lunch" (M-F,1PM-3PM ET), one of the network's longest running programs, as well as the host of the daily investing program "Trading Nation." He is also a frequent guest on MSNBC's "Morning Joe" and other NBC properties.

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