As the Democratic National Convention gets underway in Philadelphia, things are not going very well for Hillary Clinton, the party's soon-to-be nominee.
Chaos broke out at a Florida delegation breakfast on Monday morning as DNC Chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz got loudly booed after leaked emails showed her role in opposing Bernie Sanders' primary candidacy. And polls out Monday show Republican nominee Donald Trump surging to a lead over Clinton following the party's convention in Cleveland. In FiveThirtyEight's "Now Cast," which predicts what would happen if the election were today, Trump's odds are 57.5 percent of winning to 42.5 percent for Clinton.
Luckily for the former secretary of state, the election is not today.
Trump is clearly enjoying a bump in the polls after Cleveland, though his improvement began before the GOP convention, so it's difficult to say how much his gains are directly attributable to his performance there. And Clinton and the Democrats now have their shot for four days to unify the party and take merciless aim at Trump's personality and business record.
The effort begins Monday night with prime-time speeches by Sanders, Sen. Elizabeth Warren and first lady Michelle Obama. Sanders and Warren will be particularly important to try and help Democrats move past the Wasserman Schultz fiasco and convince ardent Sanders supporters of the urgency of rallying behind Clinton to stop Trump. In a sense, the GOP nominee's rise in the polls could actually help in this task by dispelling the idea that Clinton is going to win in a walkover.
Warren has proved uniquely skilled at ripping Trump's record of corporate bankruptcies and unpaid workers. She also seems to be able to get under Trump's skin in ways many others can't. Sanders, said by Democratic insiders to be somewhat mollified following Wasserman Schultz's ouster and the adoption of a liberal platform, will likely give a strong endorsement of Clinton and exhort his supporters to get out and vote for the former secretary of state.