If there is one thing that is obvious about the relationship between market behavior and the upcoming presidential election, it is that investors clearly believe that a Hillary Clinton victory will be bullish for stocks and other risk assets and a win by Donald Trump would not be.
Evidence the market action after the presidential debates, where the S&P futures rallied after each one and just look at the reaction this week when the polls shifted in Trump's favor on the heels of the reopened FBI investigation.
With Clinton, markets think they know what they are getting on the belief her presidency would provide little change from the previous administration. With Trump, the thinking is who knows what we are going to get. Unfortunately, it's a bit more complicated than that for both.
If Hillary wins and the Democrats regain control of the Senate, that can't be good for healthcare stocks, particularly in the pharma/biotech space where worries over government 'cost controls' will only grow. For financials, the regulatory noose would only intensify if Elizabeth Warren had the Senate to herself.
Bernie Sanders would also want his pound of flesh in the Senate and energy companies as an example won't happy. While the Republicans would keep control of the House, they would be fighting with one hand tied behind their back. If Republicans maintain its lead in the Senate, we would certainly see a more effective check and balance.