If the important 2018 midterm elections were held now, there's a good chance Republicans would lose their majority control of the House of Representatives, according to polling data.
With the pressure on, Republicans are widely expected by Wall Street to appeal to voters with some type of tax reform this year, even though they have been floundering on health care. A vote on whether the health-care debate should proceed is expected Tuesday.
The latest polling data shows that in a generic ballot question asking voters which party should run Congress, Democrats are pulling a nine-point lead in an average of polls, put together by Real Clear Politics.
"In my opinion, it's just a question of the sooner they realize it, the faster you get tax reform," said Daniel Clifton, Strategas head of policy research. He said the generic ballot was even on Election Day, and now gives Democrats an advantage, which suggests they could win about 30 seats in the House if the election were held now.
"You've just seen it move a lot toward the Democrats in the last couple of weeks," said Clifton. "We're still 15 months away. Could it swing back toward the Republicans? You bet it can."