The ‘correction’ is here, and Canaccord’s Tony Dwyer says buy it

A correction may be coursing through the stock market, Canaccord Genuity chief market strategist Tony Dwyer says, but he isn't turning bearish.

In fact, Dwyer may be more bullish than ever.

He predicts the markets are on pace to have a deep sell-off, and then vigorously bounce back.

"Can this be something much more significant than a 'typical 4 to 7 percent correction?' Our view is that it shouldn't be," Dwyer said Monday on CNBC's "Trading Nation." "There is nothing in the evidence that I can find at this point that would suggest that the backdrop is ripe for any kind of significant and sustainable drop in economic activity."

By the end of the year, he estimates the S&P 500 will be at least 3 percent higher from current levels. Next year looks even brighter. He has a 2,800 target on the S&P 500 — a 15 percent jump from the current level.

"Ultimately, the market correlates to the direction of earnings. That direction of earnings is driven by economic activity, and that looks positive for the next few years," Dwyer said.

The S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq and Russell 2000 are on pace for their worst month since October. The S&P 500 and Dow barely broke a two-day losing streak on Monday while the Nasdaq finished in the red for its third-straight negative day.

In a July 28 note, Dwyer said a correction was in its early stages. He said extreme overbought conditions for stocks, historically low volatility and a "toxic political environment" were setting the markets up for a short-term sell-off.

Dwyer believes the best strategy is to tune out the noise from Washington and focus on the fundamentals.

"The animal spirits are alive," Dwyer said. "Companies and households know at this point with a Republican president and a Republican Congress, you are not going to get increased regulation and increased taxes. That knowledge of those two things is actually a tailwind."

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Michael Santoli

Michael Santoli joined CNBC in October 2015 as a Senior Markets Commentator, based at the network's Global Headquarters in Englewood Cliffs, N.J.  Santoli brings his extensive markets expertise to CNBC's Business Day programming, with a regular appearance on CNBC's “Closing Bell (M-F, 3PM-5PM ET).   In addition, he contributes to CNBCand CNBC PRO, writing regular articles and creating original digital videos.

Previously, Santoli was a Senior Columnist at Yahoo Finance, where he wrote analysis and commentary on the stock market, corporate news and the economy. He also appeared on Yahoo Finance video programs, where he offered insights on the most important business stories of the day, and was a regular contributor to CNBC and other networks.

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