Futures & Commodities

Gold edges up on lower US dollar; market awaits Fed minutes

Key Points
  • Spot gold breaks past a key technical support at $1,274 per ounce.
  • Global platinum market deficit will rise sharply in 2018, says industry report.
Close up image of assorted gold ingots and gold coins.
Anthony Bradshaw | Getty Images

Gold bounced up slightly on Tuesday, as a weaker U.S. dollar gave bullion a boost after the previous day's sharp decline and as investors awaited the minutes, due on Wednesday, of the Federal Reserve meeting held in November. Gold benefited from some safe-haven buying from investors leery of a political crisis in Germany, Europe's largest economy.

Spot gold was up 0.3 percent at $1,280.63 per ounce. The metal fell about 1.4 percent on Monday, its biggest daily percentage drop since Sept. 11.

U.S. gold futures for December delivery settled up 0.5 percent at $1,281.70 per ounce.

Silver climbed 0.2 percent to $16.94 an ounce. On Monday, silver fell 2.3 percent, its biggest one-day percentage fall since Sept. 26.

"Given the fact that gold and silver prices fell so dramatically yesterday, we have seen a little bargain hunting coming into the market today," said David Meger, director of metals trading at High Ridge Futures in Chicago.

2018 will be a strong year for platinum, Zimbabwe could benefit: Expert
VIDEO1:4801:48
2018 will be a strong year for platinum, Zimbabwe could benefit: Expert

The Fed minutes on Wednesday should provide signals on U.S. monetary policy.

"The Fed rate hike in December is roughly priced in and unless there are very hawkish minutes, it's more that people are looking for direction about future moves," said Georgette Boelle, a commodity strategist at ABN AMRO.

"It seems likely that we will have more rate hikes next year which is negative for gold but the Fed will want to see evidence that inflation is picking up to really be confident in the interest rate hike path," said Danske Bank analyst Jens Pedersen.

Higher interest rates tend to lift bond yields, supporting the dollar and making non-yielding bullion less attractive to investors.

The dollar index, measuring the currency against a basket of its peers, eased.

BMI Research in a note lowered its gold price forecast slightly to $1,300 per ounce in 2018 and $1,325 in 2019, citing "our view that the U.S. Fed will hike rates by more than is reflected in the market," adding inflation and political risks in 2018 would support gold prices.

Platinum was up 1.2 percent at $934.50. Palladium gained 1.1 percent at $999.75 an ounce.

Platinum lost nearly 3 percent Monday, its biggest decline since early May. On Tuesday, an industry report said the global platinum market deficit will rise sharply next year.