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Tinder-owner Match is a buy because threat from Facebook is not ‘material’: UBS

Key Points
  • UBS raises its rating to buy from neutral for Match Group shares, saying Facebook's entry into online dating won't significantly hurt the company.
  • "We don't place a high probability on Facebook having a material impact on MTCH's future growth potential," the firm says. "We see MTCH again presenting investors with an attractive risk/reward at current valuation."
Match Group's Tinder dating application is on an Apple iPhone.
Gaia Squarci | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Match Group's stock plunge this month is a great buying opportunity, according to one Wall Street firm.

UBS raised its rating to buy from neutral for Match Group shares, saying Facebook's entry into online dating won't significantly hurt Tinder's owner.

Match Group reported better-than-expected first-quarter earnings results Tuesday, sparking a 1.5 percent rally in its stock the following day. But the company's share price is still down more than 20 percent through Wednesday since Facebook announced plans on May 1 to launch a dating feature.

"Despite Facebook's recent product announcement, we see the scaled assets of user momentum, profit dollars for marketing efficiency [for Match] ... being heavily discounted by the market vs. just a few months ago," analyst Eric Sheridan wrote in a note to clients Wednesday. "We don't place a high probability on Facebook having a material impact on MTCH's future growth potential. ... We see MTCH again presenting investors with an attractive risk/reward at current valuation."

The company's stock rose 5.6 percent Thursday after the report.

Match Group owns more than 45 online dating brands including Match, Tinder and OKCupid.

Sheridan reiterated his $48 price target for Match Group shares, representing 30 percent upside to Wednesday's close.

The analyst said Tinder's demographic is younger than Facebook's core audience. He noted there are 600 million "unattached singles" worldwide with roughly 80 percent not currently using a dating service. Match has said the average online dating customer uses more than two products at the same time, Sheridan said.

"We do not only believe that there is still significant runway for Tinder, we also think that even in a scenario where Facebook gains traction within dating, there is enough 'room to grow' for multiple players," he wrote.

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— CNBC's Michael Bloom contributed to this story.

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