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As stocks regain their footing, an ominous sign looms

Here's how investors can prepare for trouble brewing in the bond market
VIDEO1:2501:25
How investors can prepare for trouble in bond market

In recent months, one of the key themes across the fixed income market, the equity market and beyond is the dreaded ā€œIā€ word: inversion.

More specifically, investors are watching out for a potential yield curve inversion, or when shorter-dated bond yields cross above their longer-dated counterparts.

Chad Morganlander, portfolio manager at Washington Crossing Advisors, told CNBCā€™s ā€œTrading Nationā€ on Tuesday that heā€™s keeping a close eye on what a potential inversion could mean for the market and how investors should prepare.

Hereā€™s what he said.

ā€¢ An inverted spread between the 2- and 10-year yields has been a relatively reliable economic recession predictor in recent years, with a lead time of around 12 to 18 months. In other words, an inverted curve has reliably predicated slowdowns in U.S. growth.

ā€¢ We anticipate this occurring in the next six to nine months as the Federal Reserve remains on a path to interest rate normalization, bumping the 2-year yield higher as the 10-year yield fails to keep the same pace.

ā€¢ Investors would be prudent to stick with names that experience relatively little volatility, backing away from more speculative assets in portfolios.

Bottom line: As the yield curve keeps flattening, an inversion becomes more likely, and Morganlander is suggesting going with less volatile names in equity portfolios.

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