Emerging markets are in a correction. Expect more pain, warns trader

Emerging markets are proving one of the victims of an escalating Sino-U.S. trade conflict. The EEM emerging markets ETF stumbled out of the gate in August, falling 1.5 percent, and pushing closer to bear market territory.

Todd Gordon, founder of TradingAnalysis.com, sees more pain coming to the group.

Emerging markets began the year tightly correlated with the S&P 500, said Gordon. That relationship began to deteriorate in April as trade tensions started to ratchet higher. Since then, the S&P 500 has drifted back toward record levels, while the EEM ETF has fallen to lows not seen in a year.

The EEM ETF is now flashing bearish signals, he said. It is currently in a solid downtrend after tumbling more than 5 percent in June, its worst month since February. Gordon sees it now setting up for another leg lower as its charts form a corrective pattern.

Use this weakness to take advantage of the continued push lower, said Gordon. He bought the September monthly 43 put and sold the 41 put for a total of 44 cents. If the EEM ETF ends below $41 on Sept. 21, Gordon would have made a profit of $156. If it closes above $43, he loses $44 per options spread he paid for the trade.

The trade: Gordon is suggesting buying the September monthly 43/41 put spread in EEM for about $44 per options spread.

Bottom line: Gordon sees EEM falling below $41 on Sept. 21 expiration.

Vote
Vote to see results
Total Votes:

Not a Scientific Survey. Results may not total 100% due to rounding.

Videos

Trades to Watch

Trader Bios

About

Trading Nation is a multimedia financial news program that shows investors and traders how to use the news of the day to their advantage. This is where experts from across the financial world – including macro strategists, technical analysts, stock-pickers, and traders who specialize in options, currencies, and fixed income – come together to find the best ways to capitalize on recent developments in the market. Trading Nation: Where headlines become opportunities.

Michael Santoli

Michael Santoli joined CNBC in October 2015 as a Senior Markets Commentator, based at the network's Global Headquarters in Englewood Cliffs, N.J.  Santoli brings his extensive markets expertise to CNBC's Business Day programming, with a regular appearance on CNBC's “Closing Bell (M-F, 3PM-5PM ET).   In addition, he contributes to CNBCand CNBC PRO, writing regular articles and creating original digital videos.

Previously, Santoli was a Senior Columnist at Yahoo Finance, where he wrote analysis and commentary on the stock market, corporate news and the economy. He also appeared on Yahoo Finance video programs, where he offered insights on the most important business stories of the day, and was a regular contributor to CNBC and other networks.

Follow Michael Santoli on Twitter @michaelsantoli

Read more

Connect