May had failed to win a parliamentary majority on Britain's withdrawal from the European Union.Europe Politicsread more
Investors are rushing into the relative safe haven of the bond market, causing the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury to plummet.Real Estateread more
China denounced U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo for fabricating rumors after he said the chief executive of China's Huawei was lying about his company's ties to the...World Politicsread more
U.S. President Donald Trump on Thursday predicted a swift end to the ongoing trade war with China, although no high-level talks have been scheduled between the two countries.World Economyread more
President Donald Trump has threatened tariffs on another $300 billion worth of Chinese goods — but Chinese PC-maker Lenovo is prepared to shift its production if that happens,...Technologyread more
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi won a landslide re-election victory. That could see India taking a more assertive security stance.Asia Politicsread more
The Wall Street Journal and The New York Times, citing people familiar with the deal, reported that $30 million would go to plaintiffs and $14 million would be used to pay...Entertainmentread more
Danish shipping group A.P. Moller-Maersk on Friday posted first-quarter profit close to expectations and warned that trade tensions and slowing economic growth constitute...Earningsread more
Chinese technology giant Huawei has enough inventory to sustain its smartphone and 5G networking equipment business for most of the rest of the year, according to brokerage...Technologyread more
President Donald Trump on Thursday directed the U.S. intelligence community to "quickly and fully cooperate" with Attorney General William Barr's investigation into the...Politicsread more
Despite a decline in global commercial real estate markets, Asia-Pacific continues to enjoy a record-breaking growth — thanks to China, according to the Global Capital Flows...Real Estateread more
The correction that's been rolling across the stock market in individual stocks and sectors has been sending a warning that slower global growth, a stronger dollar and rising costs could hurt corporate profits, and now companies are confirming it.
Caterpillar and 3M reported earnings news that disappointed the Street. Both spoke about rising costs. Caterpillar said manufacturing costs are rising, and 3M said it sees signs of a slowdown in China, headwinds from tariffs next year and continued increases in materials costs.
Despite the concerns, earnings growth remains strong, with 20 percent profit growth expected for the current quarter for all S&P 500 companies. About half that is expected next year.
Stock futures were already under pressure before the two companies reported ahead of Tuesday's opening bell, but they were hit even harder as the two Dow stocks drove the Dow Jones Industrial Average sharply lower.
By late afternoon, the Dow reversed much of a more-than-500-point loss, but Caterpillar stock was still down more than 7 percent. The Dow ended down 125 points to 25,191.
Caterpillar set a new 52-week low and has lost about a third of its value since January. Caterpillar is among the nearly 400 of the S&P 500 stocks that are already in a correction, meaning a loss of 10 percent or more. The industrials sector, to which it belongs, is also in a correction, along with materials, consumer discretionary, financials and energy.
"Unfortunately we've seen a lot of this in all of the economically sensitive sectors," said Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA. He added that analysts have been slow to react. "They've maintained their optimistic earnings forecasts."
If any stock is a poster child for the pain that could be caused by trade wars and a slowing China, it's Caterpillar. Robert Sluymer, technical analyst at Fundstrat, points out that it reached its peak of the year early in 2018 and has moved sideways ever since.
"From the beginning of the year we've been looking at 2019 as a weak year. What we've seen is trend breaks on all of our international markets. They all peaked in the summer," Sluymer said. "In the last two weeks, the banks and some of the cyclicals are breaking down. Transports broke the uptrend."
Strategists said even with the rebound, the sell-off may have further to go.
"There's an outsized number of companies that are reporting sales results that are not as good as expected, and they're starting to manage down the outlook a little bit. There are companies that have been talking about margin pressure. Both of those things — concerns sales are weakening and crimping margins — has to scare investors," said Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at Leuthold Group. "If those are true then the numbers on 2019 earnings estimates are wrong."
Paulsen said a more concerning story than global growth hitting earnings would be if U.S. growth were to slow.
"If you have to start bringing them down, everyone that thinks the market is reasonably priced based on 2019 earnings is going to have to alter those earnings. If they suddenly see the valuation case going away, that certainly is concerning," he said.
Stovall said, "The market will be in need of a new catalyst to push share prices higher. That catalyst could come in some form of trade agreement with China, or even something like Republicans not losing control of the House [of Representatives]."
As of now, talks with China have stalled, but both the U.S. and China are ready to continue piling on tariffs. President Donald Trump is expected to meet with China President Xi Jinping in November.
But the earnings news is a warning. "I think it says the market is vulnerable to a resetting of growth potential and certainly is not likely to experience multiple expansion. I think it's now under pressure and it has to find a base. It has to then retest that base successfully, before we move higher," Stovall said.