While national media attention has focused heavily on congressional midterm elections, the odds are much better that the candidate knocking on your door is running for a seat in your state's capital.
In 46 states, voters this year will choose some 6,066 state legislative seats that are up for regular elections — about 82 percent of all statehouse seats.
Eighty-seven out of the nation's 99 state legislative chambers are up for grabs this November. (There are only 99 because Nebraska is the lone state with a single-body, or unicameral, legislature. The rest have upper and lower chambers like Congress.)
Thirty-six states are holding governors' races, and nine of those are considered toss-ups or possible flips by analysts at the Cook Political Report — Alaska, Connecticut, Florida, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Nevada, New Mexico and Wisconsin.
While the governors' races have been handicapped by political analysts, the outcome of state legislative races is much more difficult to predict. That's in part because voter opinion polls are rarely commissioned for individual statehouse races. And these state legislative races are often decided by just a few hundred votes.
This year, the battlegrounds tend to be in states where control of the governor's office is up for grabs. In the 36 states that are electing governors, half of them are open races because the incumbent retired, failed to win the party nomination or reached the term limits set in that state. Legislatures where Democrats or Republicans hold slim majorities include the state senates in Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Nevada, New York and Washington, along with single-digit lower chamber majorities in Connecticut, Maine, New Mexico and Washington.