Organizers claimed that nearly 2 million Hong Kong protesters took to the streets Sunday in a rally to demand the city's top official resign a day after she suspended — but...China Politicsread more
Heavy rains caused unprecedented delays in planting this year and contributed to record floods across the central United States.Agricultureread more
Although Cook did not mention companies by name, his commencement speech in Silicon Valley's backyard mentioned data breaches, privacy violations, and even made reference to...Technologyread more
U.S. ambassador to Israel David Friedman called the gesture a "birthday present" to Trump, who turned 73 on Friday.Politicsread more
The agreement, which is on the framework for the plan of adjustment, provide for more than a 60% average haircut for all $35 billion, a 36% haircut on pre-2012 general...Bondsread more
In the survey, 66% of Democratic primary voters say they'd be enthusiastic or comfortable about Biden as their nominee to take on President Trump in the 2020 election. Just...Politicsread more
Target's registers were down on Saturday for several hours preventing customers from checking out.Retailread more
The newspaper wrote that Goldman's executive are hoping CEO David Solomon's changes to a firm that historically thrived in investment banking and trading will boost its...US Marketsread more
The Fed is not likely to make a move on interest rates when it meets next week, but it should clear the way for a rate cut later in the summer.Market Insiderread more
Representatives from the Chinese side say they think it likely that Chinese President Xi Jinping will attend the G-20 meeting later this month. But in order to reach a trade...China Economyread more
With uncertainty keeping a lid on U.S. stocks, Ed Clissold of Ned Davis Research says the rest of 2019 is likely to be a "choppy," but somewhat opportunistic, ride for...Futures Nowread more
New year, new market: Turning the calendar over can make a world of difference.
The majority of financial assets ranging from lumber and crude futures to the Japanese yen all rose in January. Lumber and crude are both up more than 20 percent in 2019 while the yen has registered a small gain.
The , the benchmark index for U.S. stocks, is among the best performers, rising about 7 percent this month. Exchange-traded products that track emerging market stocks and bonds are also up for the year. Through Thursday's session, only seven major assets were negative this month, including cocoa and orange juice futures as well as the U.S. dollar.
This broad-based rally comes in stark contrast to last year, when only 10 asset classes registered gains. Cocoa futures, wheat, natural gas, palladium and the U.S. dollar were among those assets. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 dropped 6.2 percent in 2018 while crude and lumber both fell more than 20 percent.
"January was the snap back from a deeply oversold December," said Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, in a note to clients. "The worse an asset class performed last month/last year, the better it did this month. By and large 'the last shall be first' was January's tagline."
However, a rip-roaring rally this early in the year is not giving Colas much solace that 2019 will be a better year than 2018.
In his note Thursday, Colas points to when he was a trader at SAC Capital Advisors, a hedge fund that was run by Steven Cohen. Back then, every trader could see how the other traders at the hedge fund were performing in real time.
"Once in a while, the entire organization would sync up, with every trader showing a healthy gain for the day," Colas said. "This usually happened shortly after the open, at which point someone would invariably yell, 'Close the market!'"
"As I look at the [year to date] performance for global capital markets, I can't help but think many investors wish they could close out the year right now rather than face the next 11 months. It doesn't work that way, of course," Colas adds.
Investors will have to face a number of hurdles over the next 11 months, including slowing economic growth, declining year-over-year earnings growth and lingering uncertainty around U.S.-China trade relations.
The good news for investors is the S&P 500 usually ends the year higher when January is a positive month. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has posted an annual gain 87 percent of the time when January is a positive month, according to The Stock Trader's Almanac.