What oil's six-week win streak means for stocks

  • When crude oil prices rise for six consecutive weeks, gains continue for oil and stocks over the next month.
  • Oil just capped a six-week rally, an event that has happened only five times since 2010.

Oil prices have risen for sixth consecutive weeks, notching an 11% gain for crude during the rally. While a pullback could occur — the oil trade was close to flat on Tuesday as overseas supply threats balanced higher U.S. inventories — recent history suggests there are more gains to come, not just in oil but also in stocks.

Similar six-week oil rallies have happened only five times since 2010, according to a CNBC analysis of Kensho, a big data trading tool used by Wall Street banks and investment firms.

While oil has tended to pull back slightly the week after a six-week period of gains, two weeks later it starts to move higher again, and a full month later oil locks in additional gains.

WTI crude has traded higher more than 80% of the time and tacked on an additional average gain of more than 2.5%.

The S&P 500 also traded higher, although it had more modest gains.

Oil following six-week win streak
Kensho
Oil following six-week win streak