Asia Economy

Australian unemployment at one-year high in August, rate cut expected

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Key Points
  • Australian employment rose in August but the jobless rate worsened to a one-year high of 5.3% as more people looked for work, according to data.
  • This reinforces expectations of more central bank stimulus.
  • The Australian dollar slipped to two-week lows under $0.68 as traders saw an increased chance of a rate cut as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's next policy meeting on October 1.
Australia will launch subsidies and incentives modelled on similar efforts in the United States and Europe to help the giant commodity exporter bolster domestic manufacturing and promote industries it sees as vital to national security.
Darrian Traynor | Stringer | Getty Images

Australian employment rose in August but the jobless rate worsened to a one-year high of 5.3% as more people looked for work, data showed on Thursday, a sign of spare capacity in the labor market that reinforced expectations of more central bank stimulus.

Data showed 34,700 jobs were created in July, more than three times what the market had expected, although full-time employment fell by 15,500 and measures of underemployment and under-utilization edged up.

The Australian dollar slipped to two-week lows under $0.68 as traders saw an increased chance of a rate cut as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) next policy meeting on October 1. It would follow back-to-back rate cuts in June and July that took the policy rate to a record low of 1%.

The RBA is closely watching the jobs data as it is counting on labor market strength for a long-awaited pick up in wage growth and inflation. The RBA has said it would like to see the unemployment rate fall to around 4.5% to help generate wage pressures.

That looks like a tall task as the unemployment rate has been nudging higher since it touched 4.9% in February. One reason why unemployment has been rising is more people are looking for work, with labor force participation rising to a record high of 66.2% in August, up from 65.6% a year earlier.

The figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed part-time employment rose by 50,200 in August while full-time employment contracted.

Economists and investors widely expect another cut later this year, and some are predicting the policy rate at 0.5% or lower in 2020 as the RBA steps up efforts to revive growth in Australia's A$1.95 trillion economy which has slowed to decade lows.

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