Latest 2020 Democratic primary polls show Buttigieg surge in Iowa and New Hampshire, and Biden lead in Nevada and South Carolina

Key Points
  • Pete Buttigieg has jumped to a lead in polling averages of the first two 2020 Democratic presidential nominating states, Iowa and New Hampshire.
  • Joe Biden, meanwhile, continues to hold an edge in the key states of Nevada and South Carolina.
  • The nominating contests will start in a little more than two months as Democratic voters decide who will take on President Donald Trump next year.
Democratic presidential candidate and mayor of South Bend, Indiana Pete Buttigieg responds to a question during a forum held by gun safety organizations the Giffords group and March For Our Lives in Las Vegas, Nevada, October 2, 2019.
Steve Marcus | Reuters

Shifts in recent polls have shaken the top of the 2020 Democratic primary field, though the top contenders to face President Donald Trump have not changed with a little more than two months until nominating contests start.

South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg has climbed to leads in polling averages of the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary, the first two contests in February, according to RealClearPolitics. Even so, former Vice President Joe Biden has kept his edge in surveys of the Nevada caucuses and South Carolina primary, the two other key early states.

Through the ebbs and flows at the state level, Biden has kept his grip on the national polling lead. While the surveys have their limits because voting takes place in states, they capture a broader snapshot of the race.

As voting finally approaches following months of campaigning, a four-person crowd has emerged at the front of the pack in national and early state polls. Biden, Sens. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., and Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., and Buttigieg have jockeyed for position as they try to differentiate themselves as the best candidate to take on Trump.

Pollster Frank Luntz: There's no single front runner in the Democratic primary
Pollster: There's no single front runner in the Democratic primary

Scroll down to see which candidates have clawed their way into the top five of national and early state polling averages in the field of 18. Other than Biden, Sanders, Warren and Buttigieg, only Sens. Kamala Harris, D-Calif., and Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn., along with Rep. Tulsi Gabbard, D-Hawaii, have cracked the top five in a polling average.

The primary race got a bit more crowded this week, when former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg entered the fray. While he has decided not to focus on the first four nominating states, Bloomberg flooded several other important markets such as Texas, California and Pennsylvania with ads as part of a more than $30 million move.

The race can change again before the nominating contests start. Warren faced intense scrutiny, particularly of her health-care policy, after she enjoyed a polling surge in early October. Buttigieg could face similar focus from his rivals as he emerges as an early state threat.

Correction: Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg entered the primary race this week. An earlier version misstated his status.

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