Latest CNBC/Change Research Poll Shows Majority of Likely Battleground State Voters Support Additional Round of Stimulus Payments Amid Continued Concerns About Economy
ENGLEWOOD CLIFFS, N.J., July 15, 2020 – CNBC and Change Research today announced the results of their latest joint "States of Play" poll, conducted July 10th – July 12th.
The poll finds likely voters in the six major battleground states (Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin), consider the economy, jobs and cost of living their number one concern, with 61% rating the U.S. economy and the U.S. job market negatively, 57% are "worried and uncertain" about the state of the U.S. economy in the year ahead and 61% are "worried and uncertain" about the unemployment rate. A majority (81%) of likely battleground voters, including 68% of Republicans, support an additional round of stimulus payments to help individuals deal with the impact of COVID-19.
Meanwhile, Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden continues to hold a six-point lead over President Donald Trump in battleground states (49% Biden, 43% Trump), unchanged from the last poll conducted two weeks ago. Biden is ahead in all six battleground states. Biden also has a national lead of 10 points (51% Biden, 41% Trump). Additionally, approval of how President Trump is handling coronavirus remained 43%, tied with the record-low results recorded in the last poll.
CNBC and Change Research polled over 4,300 likely general election voters from the six previously noted battleground states, as well as over 1,200 likely general election voters nationally, to determine economic sentiment amongst voters. Additional key findings from the most recent CNBC/Change Research "States of Play" poll include:
- A record low 45% of likely battleground state voters approve of President Donald Trump's overall job performance (55% disapprove).
- 51% approve of his handling of the stock market
- 47% approve of the job he is doing helping their pocketbook
- 47% approve of the job he is doing ensuring economic relief for COVID-19 goes to those who need it most, rather than the wealthy and well-connected
- 53% of battleground voters think Biden and the democrats would do a better job "putting the middle class first."
- While the number of battleground voters reporting serious concerns regarding the impact of COVID-19 remains consistent, the poll revealed a 4% increase in the amount of voters saying things are getting worse (59%, up from 55% two weeks ago). A 45% plurality in the battleground say things are reopening too quickly, including 60% in Arizona and 62% in Florida.
- Biden/Democrats continue to hold their greatest advantages on healthcare and COVID-19. 55% of battleground voters say Biden/Democrats would do a better job making healthcare more affordable, versus 45% who said President Trump/Republicans would do a better job. 54% of battleground voters say Biden/Democrats would do a better job handling COVID-19 versus 46% who said President Trump/GOP would do a better job.
- COVID-19 was still the second biggest concern among voters, following the economy, jobs and cost of living, up four points since the last poll (46%). Healthcare and drug costs ranked third (37%).
CNBC Washington D.C. Correspondents Eamon Javers and Kayla Tausche will reveal the results of the CNBC/Change Research "States of Play Poll" today, Wednesday, July 15th throughout CNBC's Business Day programming. CNBC Washington D.C. Reporter Ylan Mui will additionally cover on-air tomorrow, Thursday, July 16th.
For more information on the survey including the full results and methodology and in-depth articles, go to: https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-9.
Methodology:
Between July 10-12, 2020, Change Research surveyed 1,258 likely general election voters nationally and 4,322 likely general election voters in the battleground states of Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The margin of error as traditionally calculated among the national sample is ±2.76% and among the battleground sample is ±1.49%. Change Research reaches voters via targeted online ads that point people to an online survey instrument. Its Dynamic Online Sampling establishes and continuously rebalances advertising targets across region, age, gender, race, and partisanship to dynamically deliver large samples that accurately reflect the demographics of a population. In the national survey and the survey of battleground states, post-stratification was done on gender, age, region, education, race, and 2016 presidential vote.
For additional methodological information, visit www.changeresearch.com/methodology.
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