CNBC Pro

Inflation debate divides Wall Street with some seeing danger, while others say the game has changed

Share
Shoppers search for items at a Costco Wholesale store August 4, 2020 in Colchester, Vermont.
Robert Nickelsberg | Getty Images

Whether the Federal Reserve's policies and massive U.S. debt are the kindling for an inflationary fire has yet to be seen, but the very idea the U.S. could face a spiral of rising prices is a topic dividing Wall Street.

Some big investors believe spiking inflation could become a problem. Billionaire hedge fund manager Stanley Druckenmiller, for one, says the Fed's actions and congressional spending could take inflation to 5% to 10% in the next four to five years. 

But others believe the world has changed. With technology and big data speeding change and lowering costs, the pressures of the past are no longer as worrisome. The impact of the pandemic also sped some change, such as telemedicine and more virtual meetings and internet-based learning.

America hasn't seen high inflation in more than a generation. The worry is that rising prices squeeze business profits, hurt consumers and undercut retirees' savings.

"I just don't buy the argument that we're going to have runaway inflation any time soon because of all the factors that will bring your costs down," said Rick Rieder, chief investment officer of global fixed income for BlackRock. "You can argue parts of health care and parts of education, those costs are coming down as well. I think you're seeing more technologies and efficiencies."

More In Pro Insight

CNBC ProThe most widely followed Wall Street investor survey shows big leap in economic fears
watch now
VIDEO03:40
CNBC ProEquities still have further upside despite cost pressures, strategist says
watch now
VIDEO13:04
CNBC ProP&G's Jon Moeller reacts to Q3 earnings, supply chain issues, inflation and more