Latest Results Revealed on CNBC's "The News with Shepard Smith" Tonight
ENGLEWOOD CLIFFS, N.J., October 5, 2020 – CNBC and Change Research today announced the results of their latest joint "States of Play" poll, conducted October 2– October 4.
The poll finds that Democratic Presidential nominee Joe Biden leads by 10 points among likely national voters (52% for Biden vs. 42% for Trump), the greatest margin for him yet in the history of the "States of Play" poll. Biden continues to lead by 5 points in the six major battleground states (Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin), and is earning at least half of the vote in five of the six states. Additionally, Biden is becoming increasingly popular among likely battleground voters, with 48% favorable and 49% unfavorable. These numbers are up considerably since May when voters were +19 net unfavorable.
CNBC and Change Research polled more than 2,600 likely general election voters from the six previously noted battleground states, as well as over 2,100 likely general election voters nationally, to determine economic sentiment amongst voters. Additional key findings from the most recent CNBC/Change Research "States of Play" poll include:
Results of the CNBC/Change Research "States of Play Poll" were revealed on CNBC's "The News with Shepard Smith" (M-F, 7PM-8PM ET) today, Monday, October 5. Additional coverage from the poll's findings will air throughout CNBC's Business Day programming and on CNBC Digital on Wednesday, October 7 and Thursday, October 8.
Between October 2-4, 2020, Change Research surveyed 2,167 likely general election voters nationally and 2,688 likely general election voters in the battleground states of Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The margin of error as traditionally calculated among the national sample is ±2.11% and among the battleground sample is ±1.89%. Change Research reaches voters via targeted online ads that point people to an online survey instrument. Its Dynamic Online Sampling establishes and continuously rebalances advertising targets across region, age, gender, race, and partisanship to dynamically deliver large samples that accurately reflect the demographics of a population. In the national survey and the survey of battleground states, post-stratification was done on gender, age, region, education, race, and 2016 presidential vote.
For additional methodological information, visit www.changeresearch.com/methodology.
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