Bonds

Treasury yields rise as investors digest inflation data

U.S. Treasury yields ticked higher on Friday as investors digested the latest inflation report and considered the outlook for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose more than 5 basis points to 3.504%. The 30-year rate slipped by 5 basis points to 3.624%. The 2-year rate, meanwhile, added 8 basis point to trade at 4.224%.

Yields and prices have an inverted relationship. One basis point equals 0.01%.

Treasurys


Thursday's consumer price index report was in line with expectations, showing that prices of goods and services fell by 0.1% in December on a monthly basis.

Investors are now considering what that means for the Fed's next interest rate decision on Feb. 1, as uncertainty about whether the central bank will hike rates by 25 or 50 basis points then has spread.

Many are hoping for the Fed to slow, or pause, rate increases this year. Concerns that the pace of rate hikes so far would lead the U.S. economy into a recession have grown in recent months.

Friday's University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey showed the one-year inflation outlook down to 4%, the third straight monthly decrease and the lowest level since April 2021.

Speaking at a local event in Pennsylvania on Thursday, Philadelphia Fed president Patrick Harker indicated he was prepared to move to 25 basis point rate hikes. Other Fed officials suggested on Thursday that the CPI print was encouraging, but did not give clear hints about how it could influence policy decisions.

Bond markets will remain closed on Monday for Martin Luther King day.