China Economy

China consumer inflation slowest in a year; producer deflation deepens

People line up to enter Haikou International Duty Free City Complex on the opening day on October 28, 2022 in Haikou, Hainan Province of China.
Vcg | Visual China Group | Getty Images

China's annual consumer inflation slowed down in February as consumers remained cautious despite the abandonment of strong pandemic controls late last year, official data showed on Thursday.

Producer deflation extended into a fifth month.

The consumer price index for the month was 1.0% higher than a year earlier, rising at the slowest pace since February 2022 and compared with the 2.1% annual rise seen in January, said the National Bureau of Statistics. The result fell short of the median estimate of a 1.9% gain in a Reuters poll.

The CPI, which is seasonally adjusted, fell 0.5% from a month earlier, missing the forecast of 0.2% gain. The monthly CPI rise in January was 0.8%.

The government has set a target for average consumer prices in 2023 to be about 3% higher than last year, when prices were up 2% on 2021 and fell short of a target for 3%.

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Annual producer deflation deepened last month. The producer price index in February fell 1.4% from a year earlier, largely driven by softer commodity costs. That compared with an annual contraction of 0.8% seen in January and the median February expectation for a 1.3% decline in a Reuters poll.

Since October, producer prices have been consistently lower than a year earlier.

China's parliament has set what analysts say is a conservative growth target for 2023 gross domestic product of around 5%, a sign that policymakers are aware of economic headwinds.

The economy, the world's second biggest, has seen a tentative recovery from Covid-19 disruption while facing weaker demand abroad and a domestic property downturn.

Economists say China will nonetheless see upward pressure on consumer prices in coming months, mostly thanks to the end of efforts to suppress Covid-19.

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Core annual inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, was 0.6% in February, compared with January's 1.0%, reflecting persistently weak domestic demand.

The economy gave one of its weakest performances in decades last year, squeezed by three years of pandemic controls, the property downturn and a crackdown on private enterprise.

To bolster growth, the government plans to stick with its usual playbook of spending on infrastructure.