Asia Politics

Malaysia's state polls were a 'setback' for Anwar's ruling government, says analyst

Key Points
  • Malaysia's closely watched state elections were a "setback" for the ruling coalition government, according to a political analyst from a risk consultancy.
  • The contest was widely seen as a first test for Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim'sĀ coalition and unity government that came to power in November.
  • "What we saw over the weekend is the same thing that happened last November, where the coalition failed to win crucial Malay votes," said Adib Zalkapli from consultancy Bower Group Asia.
  • The polls were held in six statesĀ on Saturday, and ended in a split result between the ruling and opposition coalitions, with each retaining control of three states.Ā Still, the conservative opposition coalitionĀ was able to make significant inroads gaining popularity among voters.
Anwar Ibrahim makes history as tenth Malaysian prime minister
Annice Lyn | Getty Images News | Getty Images

Malaysia's closely watched state elections were a "setback" for the ruling coalition government, according to a political analyst from a risk consultancy.

The polls were held in six statesĀ on Saturday, and ended in a split result between the ruling and opposition coalitions, with each side retaining control of three states.Ā Still, the conservative opposition coalitionĀ was able to make significant inroads gaining popularity among voters.

The contest was widely seen as a first test forĀ Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim'sĀ coalition and unity government that came to power in November. To be clear, the results will not directly impact the Malaysia leader's two-thirds majority in parliament.

"It's a setback simply because they've been selling the narrative that by introducing good governance, they will win back key Malay support in some of the states," Adib Zalkapli, a director with political consultancy Bower Group Asia, told CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia" on Monday.

"But what we saw over the weekend is the same thing that happened last November, where the coalition failed to win crucial Malay votes ā€” it happened again."

Malaysia's state polls were a 'setback' for the federal government, analyst says
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Malaysia's state polls were a 'setback' for the federal government: Analyst

Anwar's progressive Pakatan Harapan coalition and its ally Barisan Nasional retained Selangor, Negeri Sembilan and Penang, according to official results from the Election Commission.

The opposition Perikatan NasionalĀ coalition, led by former Prime Minister Muhyiddin Yassin and backed by a conservative Islamic party, retained Kelantan, Kedah and Terengganu. The opposition was able to build on theĀ inroads it had madeĀ among the country's majority ethnic-Malay Muslims.Ā 

This is the time for everyone, for all the parties, whether they win or lose, to work together to protect national peace, raise the dignity of the country and concentrate on developing Malaysia.
Anwar Ibrahim
Malaysia Prime Minister

The rise of a strong opposition in Malaysia was a sign of theĀ "maturing process" ofĀ  the country's democracy, noted Zalkapli.

"Perikatan Nasional, having made up of former experienced leaders, former prime ministers ā€” they managed to form a formidable coalition to challenge the federal government," he said.

The opposition's ability to present itself as "a brand new political party" appealed to a lot of young voters, he added.

"Also do not discount the fact that they have Islamic appeal, especially among young Muslim voters, who are becoming more religious."

'Silver lining'

At a news conference after the polls, Anwar said the government remained strong and urged all sides to accept the people's decision.

"This is the time for everyone, for all the parties, whether they win or lose, to work together to protect national peace, raise the dignity of the country and concentrate on developing Malaysia," he said.

Since coming to power, Anwar ā€” who campaigned for 24 years for the top job in Malaysia amid political coups and jail sentences ā€” pledged to make economic reforms his top priority.

There's a "silver lining" for Anwar's coalition government, Zalkapli said, given the latest polls helped to maintain the political status quo.

"With the state elections over, Anwar's hands are in a way no longer tied, he could potentially push his reform agenda," he said.

"The next election is not due until four years, he has time on his side and he's not facing any political tests in the near future."

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