Metals

Gold rally cools as traders eye Middle East developments, US data

Gold bars arranged at the Korea Gold Exchange store in Seoul, South Korea, on Friday, Oct. 13, 2023.
SeongJoon Cho | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Safe-haven gold eased on Monday, hitting pause after jumping to within striking distance of the key $2,000 level in the last session, as traders positioned for further developments on the Middle East conflict and U.S. economic data.

Spot gold fell 0.5% at $1,971.3743 per ounce by 4:11 p.m. ET. U.S. gold futures slipped 0.5% to $1,983.20.

"Safe-haven demand will continue to drive gold higher after a slight period of consolidation. We believe geopolitical tensions and the uncertainty in the Middle East will continue to drive prices higher," said David Meger, director of metals trading at High Ridge Futures.

Bullion has surged about 9% in the past two weeks as investors sought to hedge against risks of a wider escalation in the Israel-Hamas war.

However, "while not a negative signal, it is a red flag and that momentum (in gold) that previously existed has not been restored in early trade this week which could lead to some profit-taking," said Craig Erlam, senior markets analyst at OANDA in a note.

Focus is also on the U.S. PCE price index on Friday— the Federal Reserve's favoured inflation gauge — and U.S. GDP figures for the third quarter on Thursday.

"If inflation data come in higher than expected, it will raise concerns about rising interest rates, to which gold might see a knee-jerk reaction to the downside, but safe-haven demand should begin to kick in post that," Meger added.

Silver slipped 1.6% to $22.9467 per ounce, platinum slipped 0.06% to $894.2929 and palladium gained 2.5% to $1,125.0355.

"Sluggish BEV (battery-powered electric vehicle) sales growth and an increase in palladium-containing light vehicles this year is expected to contribute to a slight improvement in Chinese palladium autocatalyst demand this year," Heraeus analysts wrote in a note.