Metals

Gold prices firm on Fed rate-cut prospects

Three 1kg gold bullion bars worth over 155,00 GBP lay on the counter in a gold dealers in Birmingham's jewelry quarter on Dec. 13, 2023 in Birmingham, England. 
Christopher Furlong | Getty Images

Gold prices inched higher on Tuesday, helped by a weaker U.S. dollar and lower Treasury yields on expectations that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates next year.

Spot gold was up 0.3% at $2,058.17 an ounce after hitting a more than two-week high of $2,070.39 in the previous session. U.S. gold futures were little changed at $2,069.4.

Trading was thin on the day after Christmas with several markets closed for public holidays, and was expected to remain muted across the shortened week.

"The main factor supporting gold is still the expectation of dovish central banks and falling rates in the next few years," said Kinesis Money analyst Carlo Alberto De Casa.

There is a good chance gold could stay above $2,000 in 2024, De Casa added, pointing to continuing geopolitical tensions.

Lower U.S. interest rates increase the appeal of non-yielding bullion, which is also widely considered a safe-haven investment in times of economic and geopolitical turmoil.

Data released on Friday showed U.S. prices fell in November for the first in more than three and a half years, further slowing inflation and boosting expectations of a Fed interest rate cut next March.

Traders are now pricing in a 90% chance of a rate cut by the U.S. central bank in March, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

The dollar index hovered near a five-month low while the benchmark U.S. 10-year bond yield edged lower.

A weaker U.S. currency makes dollar-priced gold more attractive for those holding other currencies.