Daily Open
Daily Open

CNBC Daily Open: Key inflation gauge puts focus on rate cuts

In this article

Customers shop at a supermarket in Foster City, California, the United States, Sept. 13, 2023.
Xinhua News Agency | Xinhua News Agency | Getty Images

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

What you need to know today 

Stocks close mixed
The blue-chip Dow closed at a fresh record on Monday. But the S&P 500 closed down by nearly 0.1%, after the broad-market index just closed above 5,000 for the first time on Friday. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite inched lower. All three major averages are riding a five-week winning streak.

China's confidence problem
China's biggest problem is a "lack of confidence," Standard Chartered CEO Bill Winters told CNBC. China's stock market and deflation issues, coupled with its property troubles are posing a challenge for its growth prospects. "External investors lack confidence in China and domestic savers lack confidence," Winters noted.

Trump backlash over NATO
Former U.S. President Donald Trump's said he wouldn't protect NATO allies from Russian attacks if they don't meet their membership payments, sparking backlash. Top Western officials, as well as both Democratic and Republican lawmakers, sharply criticized his comments.

Bitcoin surges
Bitcoin extended its gains, breaking through the $50,000 level on Monday. This is a major milestone since the "launch of spot ETFs last month not only failed to elicit a move above this key psychological level but led to a selloff and some deep soul searching about these new bitcoin products," said Antoni Trenchev, co-founder of crypto services firm Nexo.

[PRO] China's still in play
Despite the problems plaguing China's economy, there are several sectors and stocks that offer good investment opportunities said Redmond Wong, market strategist at investment firm Saxo. "I'm still positive and optimistic on China right now," he noted.

The bottom line

Wall Street gets its first look at U.S. inflation on Tuesday when the consumer-price index for January is published.

This is a much-anticipated report that once again draws attention to what the Fed might do on interest rates.

A lower-than-expected CPI reading will boost investor hopes that rate cuts may happen sooner rather than later.

Still, recent commentary from Fed officials reinforced the central bank's cautionary tone and that it needs greater confidence in inflation data to begin the rate cutting cycle. 

Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler last week highlighted that there are signs that inflation is easy, but said she wants to see more evidence of it.   

"I am pleased by the progress on inflation, and optimistic it will continue, but I will be watching the economic data closely to verify the continuation of this progress," Kugler said.

Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari also expressed caution on cutting rates too quickly and said he only expects two or three reductions this year.

More key economic data is also expected this week, including January's reading on retail sales, production and the producer price index. These should give investors fresh hints on the Fed's path for rate cuts amid the uncertainty.  

— CNBC's Jeff Cox contributed to this report.