Metals

Gold rebounds on dollar retreat as Fed still seen cutting rates

An employee handles one kilogram gold bullions at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. 
Chalinee Thirasupa | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Gold prices rose on Wednesday, buoyed by a weaker dollar, as investors held on to hopes of a June rate cut by the Federal Reserve despite a hot U.S. inflation print, while escalating geopolitical tensions kept bullion's safe-haven demand intact.

Spot gold gained nearly 0.9% to $2,176.06 per ounce. U.S. gold futures rose 0.7% to $2,181.80.

The dollar index was down 0.2%, making gold cheaper for overseas buyers.

"The situation for gold bulls right now is a win-win, if Fed cuts rates, gold jumps substantially, if they don't cut rates, there will be concerns on inflation that could push gold higher," Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at RJO Futures, said, adding that gold's upside today shows buying on dips.

Bullion on Tuesday retreated from its record highs scaled last week, posting the worst single-day drop since Feb. 13, after a report showed U.S. consumer prices rose sharply in February, indicating some stickiness in inflation.

Higher-than-expected inflation translates into more pressure on the Fed to keep interest rates elevated, weighing on non-yielding assets such as gold. The precious metal is also used as a hedge against inflation.

But traders continue to bet on interest rate cuts in June, pricing in about 65% chance compared to 72% before the CPI data, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool.

"If (Russia-Ukraine war) was to escalate, you could probably expect to see more stimulus that would come out of Western countries for funding Ukraine, and right now gold basically is up on the geopolitical play and it's shaken off CPI," Haberkorn said.

Focus is now on U.S. retail sales, the producer price index and the weekly initial jobless claims print, all of which are due on Thursday.

Spot platinum rose 1.1% to $934.05 per ounce, palladium gained 2.3% to $1,065.75 and silver was up 1% at $24.40.