Fed Exit Chatter Unlikely to 'Taper' Off With Jobs Data

Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke
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Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke

At 175,000, May nonfarm payrolls were slightly above expectations of 169,000, and private payrolls were decent at 179,000. A decent report, certainly — yet the prior month's figures were revised downward by 19,000.

This seems consistent with a modestly improving jobs outlook: stocks rose at the open, while bond yields moved up.

Bottom line: this is just strong enough for Federal Reserve officials to continue their talk of tapering of bond purchases.

Robert Albertson, analyst at Sandler O'Neill, estimates that a nonfarm payroll report of 180,000 or so for the next five months could bring the Fed to a target 6.5 percent unemployment rate by December of this year.


1) Small IPO today Textura, a provider of on-demand project management software for the construction industry, priced 5 million shares at $15, high end of range $13-$15.

The tough market conditions appear to have derailed at least one IPO this week: that of Colony American Homes, a REIT that buys single family homes. The trust was supposed to price this week, but never made it to a market roiled by Fed tapering expectations.

The big IPO next week is Coty, well known cosmetics and fragrance manufacturer, whose brands include Calvin Klein, Chloe, Adidas, Marc Jacobs, and Sally Hansen.

2) No Great Rotation, but still outflows: according to Lipper, bond funds reported outflows of $9.08 billion, with $4.63 billion of that in outflows from high yield funds. Stock funds, meanwhile, reported modest inflows. Yesterday, several speakers at the Sandler O'Neill Global Exchange Conference — including TD Ameritrade CEO Fred Tomczyk — that there was no signs of a the Great Rotation. At least not yet.

3) GM is in the midst of another big day. Back into the S&P 500 at the close yesterday, the government priced 30 million shares of General Motors Co at $34.41 each. The U.S. government probably owns about 14 percent now. They may even complete a liquidation of their stake by the end of 2013 if this keeps up.

In addition, the UAW Retiree Medical Benefits trust (VEBA) also sold shares...their stake is probably down to about 9 percent as well.

Next: how about an upgrade to investment credit rating?

By CNBC's Bob Pisani

  • Bob Pisani

    A CNBC reporter since 1990, Bob Pisani covers Wall Street from the floor of the New York Stock Exchange.