HOW BAD ARE THESE BONDS?
The headline: Ambac (ABK), 2nd-Largest U.S. Bond Insurer, Plunges 18% On Deepening Credit Market Fears.
In an interview on CNBC, Ambac CEO Bob Genader said, “There clearly is a disconnect between the value of our portfolio, which is in good shape, versus the stock price. Over time, because we are a long term risk taker, our company is very solid and very safe.”
The stock lost more than half its value over the past month, explains Dylan Ratigan.
Doug Kass, founder and president of Seabreeze partner joins this discussion. He says “This industry simply doesn’t have enough capital… these are not banks and do not have access to the discount windows. If you take out the private market insurance business, which I believe is in the process of happening, (it would) crush Fannie Mae (FNM), Freddie Mac (FRE),Washington Mutual (WM)….”
Is there anything that would change your bearish position?
“If there was some magical recovery in housing. If there was some huge martial plan brought forth by the (Bush) administration that would make a significant dent in the record level of unsold homes,” Kass says.
Any thoughts on Citigroup?
“I go way back with Citibank, (and I have pretty good sources) and I think CEO Chuck Prince will be out by Sunday night,” says Kass.