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July 14th in Market History

This Day in Market History
This Day in Market History

Yesterday's rally was the biggest for the markets in over a month. Will the Dow

, S&P , and Nasdaq continue up today?

Historically, the major indices are up just over 50% of the time on Tuesdays. However, after a Monday when the Dow was up over 2%, the markets are mixed the next day. The Dow seems to sell off the next day, down 55% of the time, with an average loss of -0.95% when down. The S&P and NASDAQ, on the other hand, tend to extend their gains, both up 60% of Tuesdays following a big Monday with average gains over 1% when up.

July 14th in Market History:

Dow (Since 1896) :

  • Avg Gain/Loss: +0.18%
  • Up 65% of the time with an average gain of 0.68% when up
  • Down 35% of the time with an average loss of 0.74% when down
  • Standard Deviation: .99
  • Biggest Gain: +4.16% in 1930
  • Biggest Loss: -3.63% in 1896

S&P 500 (Since 1928) :

  • Avg Gain/Loss: +0.2%
  • Up 69.6% of the time with an average gain of 0.6% when up
  • Down 30.4% of the time with an average loss of 0.73% when down
  • Standard Deviation: .82
  • Biggest Gain: +2.92% in 1930
  • Biggest Loss: -1.7% in 1986

Nasdaq Composite (Since 1971):

  • Avg Gain/Loss: 0.31%
  • Up 73.08% of the time with an average gain of 0.72% when up
  • Down 26.92% of the time with an average loss of 0.79% when down
  • Standard Deviation: .84
  • Biggest Gain: +1.71% in 2000
  • Biggest Loss: -1.72% in 1986

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