Stocks closed higher Thursday after December's consumer price report showed inflation cooled for the month, raising hopes the Federal Reserve can once again slow interest rate hikes.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 216.96 points, or 0.64%, to close at 34,189.97. The S&P 500 added 0.34%, to end at 3,983.17.
The Nasdaq Composite closed up 0.64% at 11,001.10, marking a five-day winning streak. That's the first rally of that length the technology-heavy index has seen since July.
The Nasdaq is on pace for the biggest weekly increase of the three indexes, gaining 4.1% so far as investors picked up beaten-down growth stocks ahead of the CPI report. The S&P 500 and Dow are also poised for weekly advances of roughly 2.3% and 1.7%, respectively.
December's CPI report showed a 0.1% dip in prices from November, but prices were still 6.5% higher than the prior year. That's in line with what economists polled by Dow Jones expected. In November, the report showed a 0.1% monthly gain and an annual pace of 7.1%.
The CPI excluding food and energy prices was also in line with expectations, showing a month-over-month gain of 0.3%. The so-called "core" index was 5.7% higher in December than a year ago.
"I think the markets are pleased, but they don't seem to be overly excited," said Sandi Bragar, chief client officer at Aspiriant, of the reaction to the CPI report. "Any news in the right direction can make the markets happy these days."
Stocks have rallied in recent sessions as investors bet the CPI report would confirm a weakening inflation trend. Investors in recent months have watched for data signaling cooling inflation in hopes it would give the Fed justification for further slowing interest rate hikes.
Boston Fed President Susan Collins said in an interview with the New York Times Wednesday that she's leaning toward a smaller, quarter-percentage-point rate hike at the next meeting. On Friday, investors will parse remarks scheduled to be given by Collins and two other senior Fed officials.
Big banks including JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citigroup and Wells Fargo are set to report quarterly earnings Friday. Delta Air Lines is also slated to report.
Stocks close up
Stocks ended Thursday's trading session in the green.
Close marked the fifth straight day of gains for the Nasdaq as investors bought beat-up technology stocks on hopes of an improving outlook for growth names. That's the first time the index has posted a streak of that length since July.
— Alex Harring
Bed Bath & Beyond soars 60% as meme stocks continue getting short squeezed
Bed Bath & Beyond jumped more than 60% Thursday as meme stocks remain a focus of investors looking to short this week.
CNBC Pro subscribers can read more about the latest squeeze and what it means for Wall Street.
— Samantha Subin
Retail traders sold $746 million worth of Tesla shares
Retail traders unloaded $746 million worth of Tesla shares over the past week, bringing the total outflow over the last three weeks to $2.1 billion, according to data from JPMorgan.
It comes even as investors piled back into stocks, buying $1.2 billion worth of equities in the past week. That included $157 million of Amazon shares and $102 million of Apple. Retail traders dumped just $19 million worth of single stocks during the period.
"Selling was largely concentrated within Autos (mostly TSLA) with broad based buying in other industries including Retailing (e.g., AMZN, HD), Media/Entertainment (e.g., GOOGL, NFLX, CMCSA) and Tech Hardware/Equipment (mostly AAPL)," the firm said.
— Samantha Subin
Bank stocks quiet ahead of earnings
Major bank stocks are experiencing a calm session on Thursday ahead of a flurry of earnings reports that begin on Friday morning.
— Jesse Pound
Stocks on track for another day of gains entering final hour
With one hour of trading left, the three major indexes remain on pace for daily gains.
If the Nasdaq closes up, it would be the first five-day rally for the technology-heavy index since July.
— Alex Harring
Carvana jumps 35% amid short squeeze
Carvana was the latest stock being short squeezed, surging 35% in afternoon trading.
Shares fell 98% in 2022 as the used car platform faced growing threats of bankruptcy. With the 35% daily jump, a share now trades at around $7.40. That's nearly 92% off where the stock ended 2019 and 96% down from where it ended 2020.
— Alex Harring
Rates on residential mortgages dip, according to Freddie Mac
The cost of financing a home purchase slipped further this week.
The average interest rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage inched down to 6.33%, a decline from the prior week's average rate of 6.48%, according to data from Freddie Mac. Meanwhile, rates on 15-year loans are averaging 5.52%, slipping from last week's average level of 5.73%.
Though the rates on these loans are ticking lower, they are still high compared to where they 12 months ago – before the Federal Reserve began its rate hiking campaign in earnest. A year ago, the average rate on a 30-year mortgage was 3.45%, and it averaged 2.62% on 15-year loans.
— Darla Mercado
Market breadth strong as stocks rally
Advancers held a clear advantage over decliners Thursday, as the major U.S. stock benchmarks rallied following the latest inflation data report.
More than 2,100 New York Stock Exchange-listed names traded higher, while just 786 declined, according to FactSet. In other words, advancers led decliners roughly 3-1.
— Fred Imbert
Eight of 11 S&P 500 sectors advance
Eight of 11 S&P 500 sectors traded up Thursday.
Energy led the way gaining 2.1%. Real estate and communication services came in at the second and third best performers, each up 0.9%.
On the other hand, consumer staples was on track for the worst daily performance, dipping 0.6%. Health care and utilities were the other two in the red, each shedding 0.2%.
— Alex Harring
Stocks making the biggest moves midday
These are the stocks making the biggest midday moves:
- Cognizant — Shares of Cognizant rose 8% after the IT company raised its fourth-quarter revenue guidance and named a new CEO to the company.
- American Airlines — Shares rose more than 7% after the airline boosted its revenue and profit estimates for the fourth quarter.
- Logitech International — The keyboard and mouse maker fell more than 16% following preliminary results that showed declining sales and earnings.
Check out our full list for further details and more big movers.
— Tanaya Macheel
Indexes gain footing as investors enter second half of trading day
After a topsy-turvy morning, stocks traded up.
The Dow traded up 290 points, or 0.8%. At its highest, the 30-stock index advanced 0.9%. It traded down as much as 0.5% as investors initially responded to the CPI data.
The S&P 500 was up 0.5%. That's close to its largest gain of the day at 0.6% and far from the low, at which point the broad index slipped 0.8%.
The Nasdaq Composite gained about 0.5%, fractionally off session highs. At its lowest point, the index lost 1.2%.
— Alex Harring
Fed speakers' language could move markets for remainder of week, analytics researcher says
With the CPI in line with economists' expectations, investors will now turn to Fed speakers with events on Thursday and Friday for insights into future interest rate moves, according to Huw Roberts, head of analytics at Quant Insight.
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin is the only speaker who has yet to start their comments Thursday. He'll be at a financial forecasting event held by the Virginia Bankers Association and Virginia Chamber of Commerce. His remarks are scheduled to start at 12:40 p.m.
Here's who's on the docket for Friday:
- Boston Fed President Susan Collins, who will deliver opening remarks at 9 a.m. at the Boston Fed's "Housing, Place, and Flexible Work: The Future of the New England Economy" conference
- Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, who will speak on economic challenges facing the manufacturing sector at 10 a.m.
- Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, who's set to discuss 2023 economic trends in Philadelphia at 10:20 a.m.
On Wednesday, Collins told the New York Times she was leaning toward a 0.25% interest rate hike at the next meeting.
— Alex Harring, Betsy Spring
The IRA bill doesn't change much for Tesla, Bernstein says
Bernstein is maintaining its underperform rating on shares of electric vehicle maker Tesla, even as the Inflation Reduction Act is set to offer tax credits for clean vehicles.
"While the interim rules are clearly positive for demand, the prevailing uncertainty around EV subsidies is not optimal," wrote Neil Beveridge in a Thursday note. "With significant order backlog and demand largely dictated by supply, it is unclear how stimulative interim rules might be. Moreover, rebates are credits to tax returns (>1 year away)."
In addition, the initial classification of Tesla's Model Y as an automobile even though it has at least five seats was a negative surprise, he said.
"US Model Y today accounts for ~50% of US sales and 23% of global sales. 80%+ of Model Y units are 5-seaters, which will not qualify for EV credits unless Tesla lowers price or consumers spend an incremental $3000 for the 7-seater," said Beveridge.
Tesla's SR Model 3 will initially qualify for the discount, but it makes up only 15% of U.S. sales and about 7% globally. The company's battery manufacturing should qualify for production credits but may have to share with Panasonic.
"We are more torn on TSLA's stock, given its recent pullback. On one hand, the stock is now trading at close to our 2050 DCF (~ $120/share) and investor sentiment is horrible," said Beveridge. "That said, we believe that many investors underestimate the magnitude of the demand challenges Tesla is facing, and that 2023/24 numbers could materially reset."
He is also worried about the potential for broader market pressure, higher rates and slower consumer spending weighing on the stock.
Evercore ISI downgrades Hewlett Packard Enterprise
Evercore ISI downgraded Hewlett Packard Enterprise to in line from outperform on Wednesday.
Among the reasons the Wall Street firm cited were moderating IT spending and tighter budgets this year, as well as server revenues moderating from its double-digit momentum last year.
"We think 2023 is evenly balanced between a relatively optimistic full year guide (supported by a healthy backlog) and macro uncertainty impacting IT spend as well as AUP growth moderating (servers in particular)," analyst Amit Daryanani wrote in a note.
Shares ended 2022 slightly higher and are up nearly 4% so far this year.
— Michelle Fox
Buy Cinemark now after its 30% slump, Avatar success, JPM says
Shares of Cinemark have shed more than 30% in recent weeks but are poised to outperform following the success of "Avatar," according to JPMorgan. That makes now a great time to snap up shares.
JPMorgan upgraded Cinemark to overweight from neutral and kept its $15 price target, which implies a more than 57% upside from where the stock currently trades. Shares rose 2.5% in premarket trading on the news.
"Following a 31% decline in shares since the beginning of December (vs. SPX -3%), we believe the risk/reward is more favorable to take a positive view on the stock," wrote analyst David Karnovsky in a Thursday note.
These restaurant stocks have already jumped double digits in 2023
2023 is just kicking off, but some restaurant stocks have already posted double-digit year to date increases.
Many popular restaurant names in the S&P 1500 have broken past their 50-day moving averages, settling into overbought, and, in some cases, extreme overbought territory, according to data compiled by Bespoke Investment Group.
Some overbought names include Bloomin' Brands, Cheesecake Factory, Dave & Buster's and Brinker International, with shares up more than 15% each.
Shake Shack shares have risen the most among the group of stocks, with shares surging more 29% since the start of 2023 after falling about 42% in 2022.
— Samantha Subin
CPI shows shelter inflation still worrisome
Shelter costs, which includes rent, jumped more than expected in the December consumer price index, and that is an area economists are watching closely.
Shelter rose 0.8%, or 7.5% from a year ago. Some economists had expected a gain of 0.6% in shelter, which accounts for 40% of core CPI. The shelter costs in CPI are known to lag the actual market data on rentals.
"In this single month-over-month report, there is almost no inflation outside of shelter," said Wilmington Trust chief economist Luke Tilley "Goods prices are collapsing mostly because of motor vehicles and computers and laptops and technology. Used vehicle prices are down 27.5% at annualized rate over the past three months, and they're likely to keep falling."
Tilley expects shelter inflation to slow in the next couple of months. As for overall CPI, it fell by 0.01% as expected.
Greg Peters, co-chief investment officer of PGIM Fixed income, said the increase in shelter inflation is something to watch. He said the market had expected a slightly larger decline in headline CPI.
"I still think it's largely fine. I think numbers will continue to come down. The real question is where does it start to level out?" said Peters. "That's the piece of it that should be the point of focus. It's great that CPI mechanically is coming down, and there's some good news in the report. But that doesn't mean the Fed gets close enough to its target that they get comfortable."
Tilley said he expects 2023 will be unlike 2022, where inflation surprised to the upside. "We very well could see in 2023 the reverse of what happened in 2022 with inflation surprising to the downside," he said.
Fed's Harker sees smaller interest rate hikes ahead
Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Patrick Harker said he thinks the central bank can ease back further on interest rate increases.
"I expect that we will raise rates a few more times this year, though, to my mind, the days of us raising them 75 basis points at a time have surely passed. In my view, hikes of 25 basis points will be appropriate going forward," the central bank official said in a speech Thursday morning.
"At some point this year, I expect that the policy rate will be restrictive enough that we will hold rates in place to let monetary policy do its work," he added.
A basis point is 0.01 percentage point.
The comments came prior to a Labor Department report showing that the consumer price index declined 0.1% in December, adding to some positive inflation readings late.
Harker is a voting member this year on the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee.