Daily Open
Daily Open

CNBC Daily Open: State of the economy: Slowing, but strong

A man walks out of an Apple store in lower Manhattan on August 2, 2018 in New York City.
Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty Images

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

Markets were mostly unchanged Monday. Investors are waiting for bank earnings and price reports.

What you need to know today

  • U.S. stocks were mostly unchanged Monday after the long weekend, indicating investors were still weighing — and waiting for — economic data. European markets remained closed for Easter Monday.
  • Apple's first-quarter shipments of computers fell 40.5%, according to research firm IDC. That's the steepest decline among the five biggest computer makers, which all saw double-digit percentage drops.
  • U.S. consumers are growing pessimistic about the economy, a New York Federal Reserve survey showed. They expect prices to rise by half a percentage point this year; at the same time, 58.2% of respondents — the highest since June 2013 — said credit was harder to get, compared to a year ago.
  • PRO Samsung might see a 96% plummet in quarterly profit, and it plans to cut memory chip production. So why did Wall Street react positively to the news?

The bottom line

Markets in the U.S. reopened Monday but seemed to retain a post-holiday sluggishness as investors digested multiple signs of a slowing — but still strong — economy.

First, even though consumers felt credit was harder to come by in March, the banking turmoil is subsiding. Charles Schwab said average daily outflows were down from February, and the bank had added $53 billion of core net new client assets in March. That trend is consistent with the broader banking industry, according to Federal Reserve data. For the period ending March 29, deposits increased by $42.3 billion on a non-seasonally adjusted basis.

Likewise, although the tech sector was hit by bad news, the storm clouds had a silver lining. Computer shipments for the first quarter plummeted — but IDC thinks cratering demand lets companies finish "rejigging their plans" and improve their supply chains. Indeed, Dell popped 2.98% and HP rose 1.54% on the news — though Apple fell 1.6%, probably because it saw the steepest fall in shipments.

The same dynamic of "bad news is good news" played out in the memory chip sector. Samsung's plan to cut chip production helped push rivals Micron Technology and Western Digital higher by 8.04% and 8.22%, respectively. There were too many chips flooding the market, analysts believe, and tighter supply is a good thing.

Outside those industries, however, the major stock indexes were mostly unchanged. The S&P 500 ticked up 0.1%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.3% and the Nasdaq Composite declined by 0.03%.

Investors await a slew of economic indicators this week. On the earnings front, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and Citigroup report quarterly results. Traders will certainly pore through those reports, but they'll also want to see what the U.S. consumer price index and producer price index say about the economy. If they reinforce last week's jobs report and indicate that the economy isn't overheating, the Federal Reserve may actually manage to steer markets to a fabled "soft landing." Investors are keeping their fingers crossed.

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