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Stocks rally to start November after Fed decision, Dow gains more than 200 points: Live updates

AMD stock surges after issuing positive outlook for AI chips next year. Here's what the pros say
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AMD stock surges after issuing positive outlook for AI chips next year.

Stocks rallied Wednesday, rebounding from a dismal past three months, after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged for a second consecutive time — leading investors to think the central bank would stay put for the rest of the year.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 221.71 points, or 0.67%, to 33,274.58. The S&P 500 climbed 1.05% to 4,237.86, briefly crossing its 200-day moving average. The Nasdaq Composite added 1.64% to 13,061.47.

Information technology stocks outperformed, gaining about 2%. Semiconductor companies Advanced Micro Devices and Micron Technology added 9.7% and 3.8%, respectively. Nvidia shares were higher by more than 3%.

The Fed kept rates in a range of 5.25% to 5.5%, as was widely expected. The central bank also said "economic activity expanded at a strong pace in the third quarter." In previous remarks, it noted the economy was growing at a "solid pace."

CNBC

"Given the recent rise in yields, the Fed is less likely to raise rates in December, with the possibility of raising them later to keep reducing inflation," said Damanick Dantes, portfolio strategist at Global X. "Tighter financial conditions since the September FOMC meeting have partially achieved the Fed's goals."

However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell at the post-decision press conference would not rule out a hike next month, saying that the idea that it would be difficult to raise rates after pausing for two meetings was wrong.

Bond yields slid following the rate decision and after the Treasury shared its bond sale plans, boosting equities. The 10-year Treasury yield fell below the 4.8% level on Wednesday, after a move above 5% in October that spooked markets. Meanwhile, the 2-year Treasury yield dipped under 5%.

Treasury sale plans, fresh data

Earlier in the session, the Treasury detailed plans of the size of its future bond sales amid growing concerns of the U.S. government's rising debt load. Next week, the Treasury will auction $112 billion in debt, largely matching what Wall Street was expecting.

Investors absorbed other economic data that came out Wednesday morning showed signs of cooling in the economy and labor market. The ISM manufacturing index showed manufacturing activity contracted more than expected in October.

Wall Street is coming off a dismal October, fueled in part by worries over rapidly rising yields. The Dow and the S&P 500 ended the month lower by 1.4% and 2.2%, respectively, marking the first three-month losing streak for both indexes since March 2020. Notably, the S&P 500 temporarily fell into correction territory. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 2.8% in October, also falling for a third straight month.

Last month, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hit a 16-year high as investors feared the Fed would keep interest rates higher for longer.

— CNBC's Jeff Cox and Alex Harring contributed to this report.

Stocks close higher Wednesday

Stocks closed higher Wednesday.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 221.71 points, or 0.67%, to 33,274.58. The S&P 500 climbed 1.05% to 4,237.86, briefly crossing its 200-day moving average. The Nasdaq Composite added 1.64% to 13,061.47.

— Sarah Min

December Fed rate increase odds fall, based on futures tracked by CME FedWatch

The odds that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates another quarter point at its next meeting on Dec. 13 narrowed on Wednesday following the central bank's November meeting.

The implied probability of a December hike dropped to 17.1%, down from 28.8% Tuesday and 29.3% a week ago, according to the CME FedWatch tool, which is based on 30-day fed funds futures prices.

Fed funds currently stand at 5.25%-5.50%, where they were set by the Fed in July.

— Scott Schnipper

'Tighter' financial conditions may keep riskier assets from rallying, says Gina Bolvin

According to Gina Bolvin, the Federal Reserve's assessment of the economy may weigh on more volatile assets in the near term.

"The Fed acknowledging that 'financial conditions have tightened' may keep riskier assets from rallying in the short term," said Bolvin, president of Boston-based Bolvin Wealth Management Group. "So far, no change in the fed funds rate leaves fixed income and the equity market unchanged. The Fed is probably done."

After the Fed maintained interest rates at current levels, chair Jerome Powell said that taming inflation will likely require a slowdown in growth and in the labor market. "Tighter financial and credit conditions for households and businesses are likely to weigh on economic activity, hiring and inflation," read Wednesday's Federal Open Market Committee statement.

Stocks rallied Wednesday afternoon, to be sure, with the information technology and communication sectors leading the market higher by 1.8% and 1.6%, respectively.

— Pia Singh

Material stocks lag in S&P 500

Material stocks in the S&P 500 were the outlier, trading down as investors and traded followed Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell's commentary.

The sector was the only of the 11 in the S&P 500 down with a loss of 0.2%. The index as a whole, meanwhile, added 1%.

DuPont de Nemours led the sector down with a drop of more than 8%. The chemical company missed expectations of analysts polled by FactSet on third-quarter revenue and offered weak guidance for the current quarter figure.

FMC and Albemarle also weighed on the sector with slides of more than 4% and 3%, respectively.

On the other hand, Martin Marietta and Vulcan Materials were among a handful of materials names bucking the trend. Martin rallied more than 7%, while Vulcan added nearly 4%.

— Alex Harring

Tech leads market rally

The S&P 500 tech sector rallied 1.7% to lead the broader market higher, as traders mounted bets that the Federal Reserve may be done raising rates for 2023. AMD, Arista Networks and Western Digital were the best-performing names in the space.

Megacap tech stocks Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, Nvidia, Amazon and Apple were also up sharply.

— Fred Imbert

Rising treasury yields could be good news for fiscal policymakers, Glenmede leader says

Rising treasury yields can create a scenario where disinflation can take place — and that could allow the Federal Reserve to skip some future rate hikes, according to Jason Pride, chief of investment strategy and research at Glenmede.

"The dramatic rise in longer-dated bond yields over the last few months has contributed to tightening financial conditions in the U.S.," Pride said. That has created "roughly the circumstances the Fed is seeking that could foster a disinflationary process."

"Some have argued that tightening financial conditions has partly done some of the work that additional rate hikes may have accomplished," he added. But, "the jury is still out on whether we've yet to see peak fed funds for this cycle."

— Alex Harring

FOMC statement reveals that inflation still hasn't moderated enough for the Fed, says BMO's Ian Lyngen

The Federal Reserve kept its post-meeting statement pretty much the same from its September meeting, with just the introduction of fourteen words and the removal of eight.

Most strikingly, the Fed added that consumers have been faced by tightening "financial" conditions and that growth "expanded at a strong pace in the third quarter," said BMO Capital Markets analyst Ian Lyngen. Meanwhile, it seems that the central bank is still not satisfied enough with the current state of the U.S. economy to pivot its monetary policy.

"There was little acknowledgment to the fact Q3 core-PCE moderated, which suggests the progress being made isn't anywhere close to where the Committee needs to see inflation trending before shifting the characterization," Lyngen said in a note.

— Lisa Kailai Han

Fed keeps rates unchanged

The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged at a range of 5.25%-5.5%. The central bank also upgraded its view of the economy.

In a statement, the Fed said "economic activity expanded at a strong pace in the third quarter." In previous remarks, the central bank noted the economy was growing at a "solid pace." The Fed on Wednesday also said job gains "have moderated since earlier in the year but remain strong."

— Fred Imbert

ESG funds seeing momentum in North America, Bernstein says

Environmental, social and corporate governance funds in North America appear to be staging a comeback, according to Bernstein.

ESG funds saw inflows of $2.2 billion in the third quarter, about four times the $503 million figure recorded in the prior three-month period, firm data shows.

That growth was driven by passive ESG strategies, according to analyst Zhihan Ma.

In North America, there are early signs of the ESG momentum making a comeback. ESG experienced inflows of $2.2 billion in Q3, compared to $503 million in Q2. Most of the growth was driven by inflows into passive ESG strategies during the quarter. That being said, as we head into the Presidential election next year, we continue to expect the anti-ESG rhetoric to weigh on ESG sentiment. In this context, getting performance back on track is mission critical for ESG funds to regain traction on a more sustained basis going forward.

— Alex Harring

How the S&P 500 can mitigate losses from higher rates, according to HSBC

Worries over higher rates sent the S&P 500 down more than 2% in October. However, Nicole Inui of HSBC thinks there's a way future losses can be mitigated.

"The shift in market narrative to higher rates for longer is pressuring US equity markets. However, we see limited downside to the S&P index from current levels if earnings stay their course and we avoid another significant uptick in rates," the bank's head of equity strategy for the Americas said in a note.

"Overall, we find that US corporations and consumers are on a pretty solid footing to face a higher rates environment. Both have built up debt over the past decade, but the quality of the debt (lower rates and higher duration) has improved," Inui wrote. "As such, while neither is immune to higher rates, the impact, we believe, is much less severe than the 500bp swing in rates might otherwise suggest."

— Fred Imbert, Michael Bloom

S&P 500 on pace to close above key 4,200 level

The S&P 500 is back above the key 4,200 level on Wednesday as bond yields declined. If it closes above that level, it will be for the first time since Oct. 24.

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S&P 500

— Sarah Min

Market is 'overly optimistic' about the Fed, Wolfe Research says

Traders may be too complacent about the next steps for the Federal Reserve, according to Wolfe Research strategist Chris Senyek.

The strategist said in a note to clients on Wednesday that inflation is still not on track to fall back to the Fed's 2% target and that could lead to another rate hike at some point.

"We continue to believe that the market is overly optimistic about the likelihoods that (1) the FOMC will not hike again in December or January, and (2) the Fed will start cutting at the first hint of significant weakness next year," the note said.

The CME FedWatch Tool, which calculates the market expectations for the Fed through options pricing, shows that traders have a nearly 70% probability that rates stay the same through the end of January.

— Jesse Pound

The S&P 500 is about evenly split between gainers and decliners

The S&P 500 was about evenly split between gainers and decliners during midday trading. There were 241 gainers and 261 decliners, according to FactSet data.

— Sarah Min

Semiconductor stocks outperform

Semiconductor stocks outperformed during midday trading.

Nvidia shares rallied nearly 3%. Meanwhile, Advanced Micro Devices jumped more than 7%. Micron Technology and Intel were up by more than 3% and 2%, respectively.

— Sarah Min

Market rebound nothing more than an oversold bounce, BTIG says

The S&P 500 has managed to claw back some of its steep October losses this week, but Jonathan Krinsky of BTIG isn't convinced the gains will last.

"The SPX has now made consecutive 'higher highs' and 'higher lows' over the last two days, but beyond that we don't see this as more than an oversold rally at this point. There is a bit more room on the upside before resistance comes in, but we think 4220-4240 on SPX cash should" cap rallies.

The S&P 500 traded around 4,219 on Wednesday.

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SPX in 2023

— Fred Imbert, Michael Bloom

Generac pops on strong earnings

Generac shares surged nearly 16% after the generator maker blew past Wall Street's third-quarter sales and earnings expectations.

The company reported earnings of $1.64 per share on $1.07 billion in revenue. That topped the EPS of $1.51 on $1.04 billion in revenue, per LSEG

The company also stuck by its full-year guidance for 2023, bracing for a 10% to 12% year-over-year drop in net sales.

— Samantha Subin

Estee Lauder tumbles 20%

Estee Lauder shares declined 19.6% Wednesday morning, marking their worst day on record, after reducing its full-year earnings and revenue growth guidance.

The beauty company also estimates revenue growth declining between 9% and 11% in the current quarter, versus analysts' estimates of 2.2% growth, per FactSet data. Management cited potential risks to full-year earnings from business disruptions due to the Israel-Hamas war.

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Estee Lauder shares

— Hakyung Kim, Nick Wells

Job openings little changed in September

Job openings increased slightly in September, indicating the U.S. labor market is still fairly tight, the Labor Department reported Wednesday.

The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, which the Federal Reserve watches closely, showed available positions at 9.55 million, about 56,000 more than August's downwardly revised 9.497 million and just above the FactSet estimate for 9.5 million.

That put the ratio of job openings to available workers to 1.5 to 1, about where it was in August. The quits and hiring rates were unchanged while the layoffs rate ticked lower.

—Jeff Cox

ISM manufacturing index for October at 46.7, below estimate

Manufacturing activity in the U.S. contracted more than expected in October, according to a report Wednesday from the Institute for Supply Management.

The ISM manufacturing index fell to 46.7 for the month, down from 49 in September and below the Dow Jones estimate for 49.2. The number represents the percent of companies reporting expansion against contraction, so anything below 50 means activity declined.

The report marked the 12th consecutive sub-50 reading and came amid declines in employment, new orders and production, offset somewhat by increases in export orders, deliveries and inventories. The prices index increased 1.3 points.

—Jeff Cox

Stocks open higher Wednesday

Stocks opened in positive territory Wednesday.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 19 points, or 0.06%. The S&P 500 gained 0.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.2%.

— Sarah Min

Dollar index rises to highest level in almost a month, looks to start weekly win streak

The dollar index is on pace for back-to-back winning weeks after hitting its highest level in nearly a month.

The index, which measures the U.S. greenback against a basket of foreign currencies, has added 0.3% so far this week. If those gains hold through Friday, it would mark the index's second straight winning week.

The index hit a high of 106.915 on Wednesday, its most expensive level since notching 106.974 on Oct. 6.

— Alex Harring, Gina Francolla

Stocks making the biggest moves premarket

Check out the companies making headlines before the bell.

WeWork — Shares plunged 35.5% following a report in the Wall Street Journal that the shared workspace company is planning to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection as soon as next week.

Advanced Micro Devices — The chipmaker dipped more than 1% after issuing softer-than-expected revenue guidance for the fourth quarter. However, it offered positive 2024 guidance for its data center GPU segment. 

Ford, General Motors — The auto makers rose more than 1% each after Barclays upgraded each to overweight from equal weight, citing attractive valuations after October's stock declines. "We believe the different pressures on the business have created 'peak pain,' yielding trading multiples at historical lows," Barclays said.

The full list can be found here.

— Hakyung Kim

ADP says private payrolls rose by 113,000 last month

Private payrolls in the U.S. grew by 113,000 in October, slightly below a Dow Jones forecast of 130,000. To be sure, that number is well above the unrevised 89,000 print seen in September. Wages, meanwhile, expanded by just 5.7% year over year — the smallest increase since October 2021.

— Fred Imbert, Jeff Cox

Yum China shares drop in premarket trading

Yum China plunged 13% in premarket trading after the fast food company reported third-quarter revenue that missed estimates. In 2016, Yum China was spun off from Yum! Brands, the restaurant company behind KFC and Pizza Hut.

Yum China posted revenue of $2.91 billion, lower than the expected $3.06 billion, according to consensus estimates from LSEG, formerly known as Refinitiv.

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Yum China

— Sarah Min

Wayfair shares tumble after third-quarter revenue miss

Wayfair shares tumbled 12% in the premarket after the online furniture retailer reported disappointing third-quarter revenue amid weak demand in the home goods sector.

The company posted $2.94 billion in revenue, lower than the forecasted $2.98 billion, according to consensus estimates from LSEG, formerly known as Refinitiv. It did report a narrower-than-expected adjusted loss of 13 cents per share, compared to the anticipated 48 cents.

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Wayfair 1-day

— Sarah Min, Gabrielle Fonrouge

CVS earnings top expectations

CVS' third-quarter results beat analyst expectations thanks in part to strong sales from the company's health services division.

The pharmacy operator earned an adjusted $2.21 per share on revenue of $89.76 billion. Analysts polled by LSEG expected a profit of $2.13 per share on revenue of $88.25 billion. To be sure, CVS trimmed its full-year earnings guidance.

— Fred Imbert

What to expect from the Fed

The Fed's decision is due out at 2 p.m. ET. While the central bank is largely expected to keep rates unchanged, investors will tune in to Chair Jerome Powell's news conference to gather clues on what the central bank could do down the road.

"There's no likelihood that the Fed will do anything here. It wouldn't make sense at this meeting. But, what is the messaging?" said Josh Emanuel, chief investment strategist at Wilshire. "My sense is that Powell is going to want to be very measured and careful about sounding too hawkish. He's managed to thread the needle here very well."

— Jeff Cox

Europe stocks open higher

European stocks opened higher Wednesday, as global markets look to shake off a gloomy October.

The Stoxx 600 index was up 0.48% at 8:15 a.m., with health-care, autos and retail stocks all gaining around 1%, while utilities fell 0.7%.

France's CAC 40 index gained 0.44%, while Germany's DAX and the U.K.'s FSTE 100 were both 0.4% higher.

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Stoxx 600 index.

— Jenni Reid

South Korea logs first rise in exports in 13 months; manufacturing activity remains in contraction

South Korea saw its first rise in exports in 13 months, with exports in October climbing 5.1% year-on-year.

This was a reversal from the 4.4% drop seen in September, and the first time since September 2022 that the country has posted a year-on-year expansion in exports.

Separately, South Korea's factory activity saw a slightly deeper contraction in October, with the purchasing managers index coming in at 49.8, compared with 49.9 in September.

— Lim Hui Jie

Yen holds at over one-year lows

Japan's yen held at an over one-year low against the U.S. dollar a day after the country's central bank stood pat on interest rates and said it will be more flexible with its yield curve control policy.

The yen weakened 0.25%, falling past the 150 per dollar threshold to trade at 151.29. The current level was the lowest since late October 2022.

The Bank of Japan said on Tuesday the target level of the 10-year Japanese government bond yield will be held at 0%, but will take the upper bound of 1% "as a reference."

— Shreyashi Sanyal

China manufacturing contracts unexpectedly in October, private survey shows

China's manufacturing activity logged a surprise contraction in October, a private survey showed.

The Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing PMI fell to 49.5 in October from 50.6 in September. This was the first contraction in four months. Economists polled by Reuters expected a reading of 50.8.

A PMI reading below 50 denotes a contraction.

The survey mirrors the official figure released by the country's national bureau of statistics on Tuesday.

— Shreyashi Sanyal

Japan markets pop about 2% a day after BOJ decision

Japan's markets saw a strong open, extending gains from Tuesday when the Bank of Japan increased the flexibility around its yield curve control policy.

The Nikkei 225 was 2.05% higher, powered by gains in distribution services and consumer durable stocks.

Some of the top gainers on the Nikkei include automaker Subaru, investment broker Daiwa Securities, and Lasertec, which manufactures inspection equipment for semiconductor firms.

— Lim Hui Jie

China's consumers are cautious now: China Beige Book

Chinese consumers are 'very cautious' now, China Beige Book says
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Chinese consumers are 'very cautious' now, China Beige Book says

Chinese consumers are very cautious now, said Shehzad Qazi, managing director of China Beige Book.

Qazi notes consumers in China are pulling back from discretionary spending and really sticking to the staples, highlighting that industries like food and apparel fared better than luxury.  

"The bulk of revenge spending took place in the travel and leisure sector, maybe a little in luxury earlier in the year but the whole revenge spending thesis was wildly optimistic and wildly unrealistic," Qazi told CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia."

Qazi says policymakers in China appear to be confident in achieving the 5% growth target they've set for the year, and hence, there is not much pressure to inject additional stimulus into the economy.

"Unless Beijing does an about-face on its decision to do more household focused stimulus, there really isn't much option on the table for stimulus to be the driver of consumer spending," Qazi said.

— Shreyashi Sanyal

Stocks suffered a horrible October

October was not a kind month for Wall Street, with the major averages notching a three-month losing streak. That marks the longest monthly slide for the Dow and S&P 500 since the first quarter of 2020.

Here's a breakdown of the benchmarks' performance:

— Fred Imbert

These are the stocks making the biggest moves in late trading

Check out the companies making headlines in after-hours trading.

  • Paycom Software — Shares dropped 26.5% after the company missed third-quarter revenue estimates. Paycom posted $406.3 million in revenue for the period, while analysts polled by FactSet had called for $411.2 million. Earnings per share beat forecasts, however.
  • Livent — The maker of battery-grade lithium hydroxide dropped 4.4% after cutting its forward guidance and reporting a 10% decline in quarterly revenue. The company reported adjusted earnings of 44 cents per share on $211.4 million in revenue for the third quarter, while analysts surveyed by FactSet had called for earnings of 48 cents per share on $264.4 million in revenue.
  • Advanced Micro Devices — The chipmaker declined 4.5% after its fourth-quarter revenue estimate of $6.1 billion disappointed investors. The company reported 70 cents per share in earnings surpassing analysts' forecast of 68 cents per share, according to LSEG. Its revenue for the third quarter also came out higher than expected.

Read here for the full list.

— Pia Singh

Stock futures open slightly lower

Stock futures opened lower Tuesday.

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 49 points, or 0.15%. S&P 500 futures declined 0.15%, while Nasdaq 100 futures shed 0.14%.

— Pia Singh